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6:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
31.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IRREVERENT (11) missed a nose in a future stars series heat at Pakenham three weeks ago. That followed a near miss at Sandown-Hillside first-up. She has more to give and appeals most. ON THE LOOSE (9) had been well-educated and finished third on debut and also went close in a future star heat at Pakenham. Is sure to have taken benefit and has been kept on the fresh side. Tough to peg back. COSTA PAROS (4) races forward and brings placings from Cranbourne. The gate is awkward and he may not have the immediate upside of the pair above. He's a hope regardless. ZOUDEADLY (13) finds a bit tougher, but there was a lot to like about his Werribee placing fourth-up. He'll be hitting the line well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Irreverent silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor with 126lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark with 126lbs at $3. Winning chance.

1st Pick
11

Irreverent

Jockey: Zac Spain

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Zac Spain

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

179---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor with 126lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark with 126lbs at $3. Winning chance.

9
On The Loose silk

At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont carrying 130lbs at $13. Plenty of upside and is among the leading contenders.

2nd Pick
9

On The Loose

Jockey: Beau Mertens

Trainer: Greg Eurell

J: Beau Mertens

T: Greg Eurell

158---20%4/1

Analysis

At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont carrying 130lbs at $13. Plenty of upside and is among the leading contenders.

4
Costa Paros silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 30 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lisa Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

3rd Pick
4

Costa Paros

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Luke Currie

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

142---19%9/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 30 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lisa Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.