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3:00 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
7f
Maiden
Synthetic
GOOD
22.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUST DESSERTS (3) ran well on debut last start to finish third over 7f at this track in a tougher race. He should come on plenty from that and any natural improvement will see him very hard to beat. LOLLIE'S GALORE (4) ran below expectations when fresh from a spell at Bendigo over 6 ½f last time, finishing sixth and beaten 4.5 lengths. Should improve and did show ability in two runs last campaign. AUBAINE (1) returned last time with a solid second at this track over 7f. Fitter now and Shinn sticks out of a good form race, rates well. AURORA'S BELT (7) went forward and battled home into fourth over 7f at this track last time. Tricky draw but has good early speed, can give a sight.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Just Desserts silk

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 3 over 7f, 4 len behind Earthing carrying 131lbs at $1.75. Respecting support on debut and this looks ideal.

1st Pick
3

Just Desserts

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Michael Dee

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

87---34%2/1

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 3 over 7f, 4 len behind Earthing carrying 131lbs at $1.75. Respecting support on debut and this looks ideal.

4
Lollie's Galore silk

Second-up. First-up after five months eased back early on 6th of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on July 30 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Angland Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on March 13 over 7 ¼f, 0.6 len behind Yauson with 130lbs at $3. Fitter

2nd Pick
4

Lollie's Galore

Jockey: Luke Nolen

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Nolen

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

216---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months eased back early on 6th of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on July 30 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Angland Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on March 13 over 7 ¼f, 0.6 len behind Yauson with 130lbs at $3. Fitter

1
Aubaine silk

Second-up. First-up after nine months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 3 over 7f, 3 len behind Earthing carrying 131lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on October 8 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Roulette King with 128lbs at $81. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

3rd Pick
1

Aubaine

Jockey: Blake Shinn

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Blake Shinn

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

186---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after nine months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 3 over 7f, 3 len behind Earthing carrying 131lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on October 8 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Roulette King with 128lbs at $81. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.