AU - Pakenham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

29.4K

VIEW

Verdict

MISLIGHT (4) has had a few chances but looks to have found a very winnable maiden. She found the 6f far too sharp first up off a short break, quickly getting to this track and trip last time when giving a good sight, beaten a head. Should be at peak fitness now. She rolls to the top and goes close. FEDORA (10) is knocking on the door, placing in her past couple including when just behind Mislight last time out. She's open to further improvement and looks the danger again. SHARK PARK (8) was just fair fresh when in the market but should strip fitter for that and is very lightly raced. Respecting with the added fitness. DELA BELLA (1) was disappointing as favourite behind Mislight last time but has to be respected off that support. HOLLER DASH (2) could stick on for a minor placing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today. First-up raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Katsumi Orochi carrying 122lbs at $17. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, head behind Red Feathers carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Profiles nicely. Peaks now and should go close. 1st Pick 4 Mislight Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Rachael Frost J: Jake Noonan T: Rachael Frost	139	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Katsumi Orochi carrying 122lbs at $17. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, head behind Red Feathers carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Profiles nicely. Peaks now and should go close.
10	Racing well recently. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, neck behind Red Feathers carrying 125lbs at $9. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ballarat F&M Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Voting Rights with 122lbs at $31. Takes plenty of catching. 2nd Pick 10 Fedora Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Neil Farley T: David & Coral Feek	170	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, neck behind Red Feathers carrying 125lbs at $9. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ballarat F&M Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Voting Rights with 122lbs at $31. Takes plenty of catching.
8	Third race start. Promising on debut 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Leg Drive with 119lbs at $14. Went for a break before returning 9th of 11 at Ballarat F&M Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Voting Rights with 128lbs at $4.40. Fitter and open to plenty of improvement. 3rd Pick 8 Shark Park Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Beau Mertens T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	123	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Leg Drive with 119lbs at $14. Went for a break before returning 9th of 11 at Ballarat F&M Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Voting Rights with 128lbs at $4.40. Fitter and open to plenty of improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.