AU - Pakenham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.9K

VIEW

Verdict

STAR JE TAIME (10) sets the standard after being beaten a nose at Mornington as a short odds-on favourite, with interference near the 2 ½f adding context to the defeat. She had also been held up when third at Kyneton, so her recent form has more merit than the bare results, and first-time blinkers give her another chance to turn consistency into a maiden win. AMBITION IN BLOOM (7) is the clear danger after finishing just over half a length away in the same Mornington race, having led to the turn before being run down late. Can improve again. HELIZANGEL (8) has a little more to prove after a fair sixth at this track first-up but will strip fitter and take some holding out late. OPEN FIRE (5) comes through two solid fourths, the latest with a slow start and mid-race steadier at Wangaratta. Sets up for every hope from the low gate and has claims. VIA THERESA (11) is a possible improver third up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Has been knocking firmly on the door, going under by a nose at Mornington after being pipped late as a short odds-on favourite, with interference near the 2 ½f adding merit. She had been held up more than once when third at Kyneton and still finished strongly. Brings the strongest winning profile and can atone. 1st Pick 10 Star Je Taime Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Damian Lane T: Danny O'brien	178	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Has been knocking firmly on the door, going under by a nose at Mornington after being pipped late as a short odds-on favourite, with interference near the 2 ½f adding merit. She had been held up more than once when third at Kyneton and still finished strongly. Brings the strongest winning profile and can atone.
7	Went very close at Mornington last start, finishing third to Pandie Pandie and beaten just over half a length after leading to the turn and being run down late. That followed a sound Kilmore debut when fourth after beginning slowly, so she has already shown useful improvement. Heading the right way, should take beating. 2nd Pick 7 Ambition In Bloom Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Damien Thornton T: Matt Laurie	166	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Went very close at Mornington last start, finishing third to Pandie Pandie and beaten just over half a length after leading to the turn and being run down late. That followed a sound Kilmore debut when fourth after beginning slowly, so she has already shown useful improvement. Heading the right way, should take beating.
8	Resumed with a fair sixth at this track over 7f on soft ground, settling well back after a slow start and finishing just over five lengths from Shemesh. Her Sandown-Lakeside run prior was in F Open grade on heavy ground and can be treated as stronger company than this. Fitter for that and will take some holding out. 3rd Pick 8 Helizangel Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	84	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Resumed with a fair sixth at this track over 7f on soft ground, settling well back after a slow start and finishing just over five lengths from Shemesh. Her Sandown-Lakeside run prior was in F Open grade on heavy ground and can be treated as stronger company than this. Fitter for that and will take some holding out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.