AU - Pakenham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

DOUBLET (2) returned from a break of seven months with a solid third last start at this track over 7f after he got a long way back in the run. Up in trip suits ideally now and any improvement sees him go close. HIT SQUAD (4) is yet to break through after five career starts but did place over this route two back before dropping back in trip and running fifth. Shinn on helps, he'll roll forward and take beating. VESPASIAN (7) stuck on well for third at Geelong last time over 1 ¹/16m and maps well at peak fitness, should take beating. RISING NINE TOP (9) ran well fresh at Ballarat Synthetic over 7f and up in trip suits. With luck from the gate she'll take beating.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 7f, long-neck behind Rip Current carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 in a 34&5yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on November 26 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Golden Spritz carrying 128lbs at $41. Fitter and profiles nicely. 1st Pick 2 Doublet Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: John Moloney J: Jye Mcneil T: John Moloney	155	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 7f, long-neck behind Rip Current carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 in a 34&5yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on November 26 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Golden Spritz carrying 128lbs at $41. Fitter and profiles nicely.
4	At the latest run 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Rip Current with 131lbs at $6.50. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on June 15 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Duntulm Lass with 131lbs at $4.20. Rolls forward and will give a sight for the top trainer/jockey combination. 2nd Pick 4 Hit Squad Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Blake Shinn T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	205	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Rip Current with 131lbs at $6.50. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on June 15 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Duntulm Lass with 131lbs at $4.20. Rolls forward and will give a sight for the top trainer/jockey combination.
7	Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $4.60. Before that 5th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on July 12 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Newcombe carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Maps well and looks a key chance. 3rd Pick 7 Vespasian Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	138	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $4.60. Before that 5th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on July 12 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Newcombe carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Maps well and looks a key chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.