AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FONTALICIOUS (7) tackled a stronger race last start at Sandown Hillside and faded to finish last after setting a slow speed, beaten for a turn of foot there. Happy to forgive that one, her form prior was rock solid for this and she should be fitter for it regardless. MIDNIGHT DEVIL (4) can mix his form a bit but was good last start at Moe when just nosed out. He'll land in the first couple and give a sight. BOLD PRINT (1) hasn't really fired his past couple on turf but back to synthetic here should suit, his best is good enough to win. SUPERLIV (5) didn't fire fresh but can improve while HELLUVA BARTY (2) could sneak into the minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run led to the turn then faded ran last of 8 in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Tales Of Time carrying 123lbs at $16. The run before that 3rd in a small field in a 2yo F Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind One Day At A Time carrying 122lbs at $5. Rates highly here and can bounce back. 1st Pick 7 Fontalicious Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black J: Luke Cartwright T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black	113	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run led to the turn then faded ran last of 8 in a 3yo Bm64 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Tales Of Time carrying 123lbs at $16. The run before that 3rd in a small field in a 2yo F Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 2 len behind One Day At A Time carrying 122lbs at $5. Rates highly here and can bounce back.
4	At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 24 over 5f, nose behind Marilyn's Edge with 136lbs at $3.20. The run before that raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 11 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Let It Beel with 129lbs at $13. Will give a sight on speed. 2nd Pick 4 Midnight Devil Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Patrick Moloney T: Enver Jusufovic	143	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 24 over 5f, nose behind Marilyn's Edge with 136lbs at $3.20. The run before that raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 11 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Let It Beel with 129lbs at $13. Will give a sight on speed.
1	Last start 6th of 8 in a Bm66 at Cranbourne on September 25 over 4 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Magnabelle Royale carrying 134lbs at $17. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 5f, head behind Bold Bordeaux carrying 139lbs at $5. Usually consistent sprinter and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 1 Bold Print Jockey: Joe Bowditch Trainer: Rachael Cunningham J: Joe Bowditch T: Rachael Cunningham	155	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start 6th of 8 in a Bm66 at Cranbourne on September 25 over 4 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Magnabelle Royale carrying 134lbs at $17. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 5f, head behind Bold Bordeaux carrying 139lbs at $5. Usually consistent sprinter and can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.