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5:00 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 7

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Synthetic
UNKNOWN
19.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RAIKOKE (1) won't get many better chances than this to notch up another win. He's racing well enough in tougher company, battling on gamely for third in a BM74 last start at Sandown Lakeside. First go synthetic here but looks very well placed. BRONTE BEACH (5) ran on strongly first up here on the turf to grab third and should strip fitter. She'll take holding out. DOUBLE PI (9) struggled on heavy going last time but had been racing well prior and onto synthetic could suit from a good draw. KEANE ENUFF (2) presents third up and ready to peak. He's a winner over this track and distance which is key, respecting. WHITE HOT MAMA (4) has won 3 of her past 4 and should take catching.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Raikoke silk

Last start 3rd in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm74 on June 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Didn't Miss Many with 130lbs at $9. Before that 8th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Duchess Zou carrying 125lbs at $11. Very well suited this level.

1st Pick
1

Raikoke

Jockey: Dylan Dean

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Dylan Dean

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

195---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 3rd in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm74 on June 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Didn't Miss Many with 130lbs at $9. Before that 8th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Duchess Zou carrying 125lbs at $11. Very well suited this level.

5
Bronte Beach silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Legio Ten with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on October 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Steel Trap with 121lbs at $4.20. Fitter and a strong chance.

2nd Pick
5

Bronte Beach

Jockey: Beau Mertens

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Beau Mertens

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

132---34%2/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Legio Ten with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on October 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Steel Trap with 121lbs at $4.20. Fitter and a strong chance.

9
Double Pi silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 6f, slow going 0.9 len behind Zunna with 125lbs at $17. Second run from a spell sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on June 3 over 7f, in the wet, 5 len behind Ultra Blue with 125lbs at $8. Can bounce back from a good draw.

3rd Pick
9

Double Pi

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

96---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 6f, slow going 0.9 len behind Zunna with 125lbs at $17. Second run from a spell sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on June 3 over 7f, in the wet, 5 len behind Ultra Blue with 125lbs at $8. Can bounce back from a good draw.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.