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4:30 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 6

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Synthetic
UNKNOWN
19.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRAY DAY (5) has been below his best at his past couple on heavy tracks but could be a quick improver onto a synthetic surface here having posted good figures winning here on the turf three back. He draws perfectly for Mott and should take catching. ZESHADOW (3) can mix her form but has the peaks to win, perhaps not seeing out the longer trip last time. Back to a mile suits, she should run a bold race. GIVE SOME LIP (14) has been solid in three runs this time in and up to a mile looks okay now. ANALYTICAL (1) got the maiden out of the way at Werribee last time and can go on with it for the new yard now. SHREWSBURY ROAD (7) doesn't win out of turn but can be strong late.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Pray Day silk

Last start ran second last of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 0-66 on May 31 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Red On Red carrying 126lbs at $3.90. The race before that raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 8 at Pakenham Bm62 on April 16 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Accidental Bid with 130lbs at $4. Can bounce back strongly this level.

1st Pick
5

Pray Day

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Trevor Rogers

J: Jamie Mott

T: Trevor Rogers

158---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start ran second last of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 0-66 on May 31 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Red On Red carrying 126lbs at $3.90. The race before that raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 8 at Pakenham Bm62 on April 16 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Accidental Bid with 130lbs at $4. Can bounce back strongly this level.

3
Zeshadow silk

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 8 len behind Breathless Spirit carrying 131lbs at $3.60. The race before that eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Pakenham 0 - 66 on April 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Rasp with 127lbs at $3.40. Big chance on best form.

2nd Pick
3

Zeshadow

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: Andrew Noblet

J: Billy Egan

T: Andrew Noblet

128---20%4/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 8 len behind Breathless Spirit carrying 131lbs at $3.60. The race before that eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Pakenham 0 - 66 on April 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Rasp with 127lbs at $3.40. Big chance on best form.

14
Give Some Lip silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on June 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Ultra Blue carrying 116lbs at $17. The run before that took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 at Mornington Bm56 on May 25 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Zamparini Spirit with 129lbs at $6. Heading the right way and has claims.

3rd Pick
14

Give Some Lip

Jockey: Zac Spain

Trainer: Reece Goodwin

J: Zac Spain

T: Reece Goodwin

111---15%6/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on June 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Ultra Blue carrying 116lbs at $17. The run before that took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 at Mornington Bm56 on May 25 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Zamparini Spirit with 129lbs at $6. Heading the right way and has claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.