AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Synthetic

ALL WEATHER

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MARGIN CALL (2) ran a better race last start to finish a close third over 5f at Ballarat Synthetic. Looks well placed so expect another big run. Shinn's booking adds another layer of confidence. MAGNARDO (6) is a 10-time winner who has been racing in great heart, scoring by a nose last time out over 6f at Ballarat Synthetic. Well placed and is sure to put her best foot forward again. AUSTRALIAN LEGACY (9) was a determined maiden winner last time out, scoring by a head over this trip at Ballarat Synthetic. Has plenty of scope for improvement and shapes a great chance to go back-to-back. ASTARI (8) caught the eye fresh when closing strongly late into midfield then hit the line well again here last time. Peaking now and is a big chance to break through off a month in-between.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 9 at Illawarra Grange Bm64 on May 30 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Cool Lad carrying 134lbs at $4. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm62 on July 14 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Whitson with 136lbs at $8.50. Can improve. Looks a key runner. 1st Pick 2 Margin Call Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Blake Shinn T: Ciaron Maher	174	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 9 at Illawarra Grange Bm64 on May 30 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Cool Lad carrying 134lbs at $4. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm62 on July 14 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Whitson with 136lbs at $8.50. Can improve. Looks a key runner.
6	Recent form sound. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 June 26 over 6f defeating Packers Journey carrying 133lbs at $2.50. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 on June 16 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Brave Carol with 133lbs at $4.20. Going well and is right in this. 2nd Pick 6 Magnardo Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Jake Noonan T: Reece Goodwin	85	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 June 26 over 6f defeating Packers Journey carrying 133lbs at $2.50. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 on June 16 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Brave Carol with 133lbs at $4.20. Going well and is right in this.
9	Third race start. First start faded in the straight 5th of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6f, 2.5 len behind First Fifteen carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Returned from break won by a head at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo F Mdn-Sw July 12 over 5 ½f defeating Cicconi Rain carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Still has scope for improvement and is likely to feature. 3rd Pick 9 Australian Legacy Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jye Mcneil T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	105	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Third race start. First start faded in the straight 5th of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6f, 2.5 len behind First Fifteen carrying 126lbs at $1.70. Returned from break won by a head at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo F Mdn-Sw July 12 over 5 ½f defeating Cicconi Rain carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Still has scope for improvement and is likely to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.