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3:10 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 3

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7f
Maiden
Synthetic
GOOD
29.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MONSIEUR CLAUDE (15) drew wide and got a long way back on debut at Bendigo but caught the eye with a big finish as the $2.50 favourite to grab a narrow fourth. Better for that effort and while drawn wide again he can atone. SILKY SETH (5) has been good in two runs back, beaten under a length at Geelong second up in an encouraging effort. He can roll forward from a wide gate and should take catching. ANGLING ANGEL (9) resumes having last been seen running in a G3 SA Fillies Classic over 1 ?/16m. She was well backed there and can sprint well fresh. TROUBLE'N PARADISE (14) ran a good race first up at Sale, only beaten a neck into fourth. He should improve off that and is in the mix. SALARAE (11) was close up fresh and should be thereabouts again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
15
Monsieur Claude silk

Was well-supported at debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sumaluv with 131lbs at $2.50. Tough draw again but has upside and should go close.

1st Pick
15

Monsieur Claude

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Matt Laurie

106---12%15/2

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sumaluv with 131lbs at $2.50. Tough draw again but has upside and should go close.

5
Silky Seth silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sarapo with 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Discover Lupino carrying 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Can roll forward and take catching.

2nd Pick
5

Silky Seth

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Jamie Mott

T: Danny O'brien

122---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sarapo with 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Discover Lupino carrying 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Can roll forward and take catching.

9
Angling Angel silk

Resuming after five months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign ninth of 12 at Morphettville in the G3 Sa Classic May 9 over 1/16m, soft track, 4 len behind Fringes carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Previously first up, eighth of 12 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw March 13 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cadillac Sam carrying 123lbs at $11. Has ability and should take holding out.

3rd Pick
9

Angling Angel

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Phillip & Tommy Stokes

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes

155---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming after five months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign ninth of 12 at Morphettville in the G3 Sa Classic May 9 over 1/16m, soft track, 4 len behind Fringes carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Previously first up, eighth of 12 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw March 13 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cadillac Sam carrying 123lbs at $11. Has ability and should take holding out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.