AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 3

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

ALL WEATHER

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

AUBAINE (1) ran into some good ones in his debut prep including G2 Alister Clark Stakes winner Roulette King. Has been gelded during the break and looks to have come on well. Shinn's booking adds plenty of confidence he can run well. JUST DESSERTS (7) is a Justify gelding on debut for the Hayes boys. Has jumped out sharply in readiness and is expected to make a bright start. SOULSEASE RIVER (12) took a nice step forward last start when in contention on the turn and battling on to finished third. Is open to further improvement but will need Dee to be on top of his game from out there. DOLCE CAROLINA (10) will strip fitter for this after running below expectations first-up at Seymour. Likely improver but is another that is drawn poorly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw October 31 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Chillies with 126lbs at $4.40. On debut second last of 10 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw September 19 over 6f, 18 len behind Enamorada with 126lbs at $21. Expected to feature. 1st Pick 1 Aubaine Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Blake Shinn T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	136	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw October 31 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Chillies with 126lbs at $4.40. On debut second last of 10 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw September 19 over 6f, 18 len behind Enamorada with 126lbs at $21. Expected to feature.
7	Three-year-old gelding by first season sire Justify out of Socialize who was bought for AUD $ 200,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). Ben, Will & Jd Hayes has him ready for this with seven recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Pakenham Synthetic over 5f on July 21. Respect any market moves. 2nd Pick 7 Just Desserts Jockey: Akira Sugawara Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Akira Sugawara T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	30	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Three-year-old gelding by first season sire Justify out of Socialize who was bought for AUD $ 200,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). Ben, Will & Jd Hayes has him ready for this with seven recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Pakenham Synthetic over 5f on July 21. Respect any market moves.
12	Having third race start. At debut, 7th of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6f, 6 len behind Judas Tree carrying 128lbs at $20. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Seymour 2yo Hcp on July 19 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind No Friends with 127lbs at $10. Has ability and is expected to run well again. 3rd Pick 12 Soulsease River Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	111	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 7th of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6f, 6 len behind Judas Tree carrying 128lbs at $20. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Seymour 2yo Hcp on July 19 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind No Friends with 127lbs at $10. Has ability and is expected to run well again.

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Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

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A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

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