AU - Moe - Race 9

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

10.2f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

34.1K

VIEW

Verdict

MICKIDABEEL (4) looks the right horse to beat after going under by only half a length to Nothingelsematters at Mornington, and his record at around 1 ¼m gives that near miss proper substance. Damian Lane should have a few winners by now given his book and can round out the day a winner. LARRYOCTANE (9) can run well at each way odds. He continues to run third, including over this route two back and then again at Swan Hill. He'll be running on. EPEIRIC (7) rises from a BM56 and tries around 1 ¼m for the first time, but she is race fit, drops sharply in weight and had excuses two starts ago at Sale. PURE GRUNT (3) closed much better when fifth at Mornington and is suited coming back from that company. Consider. GINGER SWEET (11) is knocking on the door and looks a key hope.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Went very close at Mornington last start, moving into the race strongly before being pipped by Nothingelsematters and beaten half a length. His prior sixth in a BM62 at Geelong was only fair, but the return to around 1 ¼m suits far better with one win and one placing from four attempts at the distance. Damian Lane takes over and the shift from metro company is in his favour. Brings the strongest recent form and gets his chance to win. 1st Pick 4 Mickidabeel Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Aaron Laing J: Damian Lane T: Aaron Laing	130	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Went very close at Mornington last start, moving into the race strongly before being pipped by Nothingelsematters and beaten half a length. His prior sixth in a BM62 at Geelong was only fair, but the return to around 1 ¼m suits far better with one win and one placing from four attempts at the distance. Damian Lane takes over and the shift from metro company is in his favour. Brings the strongest recent form and gets his chance to win.
9	Has been holding his form well, finishing third in a BM62 at Swan Hill last start when beaten a length after covering ground from well back. He had also run third at this track in a BM56, beaten just over two lengths behind Frank Express, so the recent platform is reliable. This is harder, but he drops in weight, has first-time blinkers and has placed three times from five starts at this distance. Racing well and will take holding out. 2nd Pick 9 Larryoctane Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Damien Thornton T: Luke Oliver	78	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Has been holding his form well, finishing third in a BM62 at Swan Hill last start when beaten a length after covering ground from well back. He had also run third at this track in a BM56, beaten just over two lengths behind Frank Express, so the recent platform is reliable. This is harder, but he drops in weight, has first-time blinkers and has placed three times from five starts at this distance. Racing well and will take holding out.
7	Was beaten just over two lengths when seventh in a BM56 at Geelong last start, holding a handy spot before failing to go on despite being near the top of betting. The Sale run prior had more merit, as she began slowly, was steadied and held up before making solid inroads. Can improve now and run a good race at odds. 3rd Pick 7 Epeiric Jockey: Jackie Beriman Trainer: Paul & Tracey Templeton J: Jackie Beriman T: Paul & Tracey Templeton	69	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Was beaten just over two lengths when seventh in a BM56 at Geelong last start, holding a handy spot before failing to go on despite being near the top of betting. The Sale run prior had more merit, as she began slowly, was steadied and held up before making solid inroads. Can improve now and run a good race at odds.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race