AU - Moe - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

5.6f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MAUNA KEA MISS (8) ran below expectations last time at Caulfield Heath, finishing 10th and beaten 5 lengths starting at $5. This doesn't look as hard so she is likely to play a big role. UNAPPROACHABLE (9) scored last start at this track to make it two wins from four starts this campaign. Going too well to ignore. NASRAAWY (2) broke a bit of a drought last time in and while that was a much easier race than this, confidence will be high and he'll give himself every chance on-speed. MRS ARCHIBALD (5) was out of the money when resuming two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 5f at Caulfield Heath, beaten 5.5 lengths into 11th. Has started three times at this course and distance and is yet to miss the placings. GODTFRED KIRK (4) resumed last start over 5 ½f at Pakenham and showed little early speed, settling well back but hitting the line hard to finish second, beaten 2 lengths. Draws to get a cosy run and could be strong late.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run ran second last of 11 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm74 on June 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 116lbs at $5. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Mornington Bm66 on June 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Next Step Iowa carrying 120lbs at $6. Key runner who should run well. 1st Pick 8 Mauna Kea Miss Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Rory Hunter J: Non Runner T: Rory Hunter	150	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 11 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm74 on June 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 116lbs at $5. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Mornington Bm66 on June 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Next Step Iowa carrying 120lbs at $6. Key runner who should run well.
9	Most recently won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm62 June 18 over 6f in the wet defeating Tsarine carrying 130lbs at $10. The start before that 5th of 9 at this track F&M Bm62 on May 28 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Freshen with 131lbs at $14. Worth including. 2nd Pick 9 Unapproachable Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Enver Jusufovic	124	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Most recently won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm62 June 18 over 6f in the wet defeating Tsarine carrying 130lbs at $10. The start before that 5th of 9 at this track F&M Bm62 on May 28 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Freshen with 131lbs at $14. Worth including.
2	At the latest run favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track Bm56 June 18 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Dirty Diana with 133lbs at $3.30. The race before that 4th of 13 at this track Bm62 on May 28 over 5f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Misty Legend with 126lbs at $5. This tougher but confidence up after the last win. 3rd Pick 2 Nasraawy Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Bailey Kinninmont T: Gavin Bedggood	137	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 2.75 len at this track Bm56 June 18 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Dirty Diana with 133lbs at $3.30. The race before that 4th of 13 at this track Bm62 on May 28 over 5f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Misty Legend with 126lbs at $5. This tougher but confidence up after the last win.

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