AU - Moe - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.3f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

16.0K

VIEW

Verdict

M'LADY ROSE (4) was well bet last start over 7 ½f at Ballarat when fourth, beaten 2.5 lengths. Fitter for the three runs back and looks ideally placed here over the longer trip. Winkers have been removed for this and looks ready to fire. HERE COMES RUBY (3) was a winner two back then was safely held when sixth over 1 ¼m at Mornington latest. Back in grade for this and expected to bounce back. NILE CROCODILE (7) is fitter for two runs in and put the writing on the wall when placing in the latest. Ideally placed and is sure to take plenty of stopping. Same goes for NAJLE (9) who is fitter for two runs back and gets a chance to show best. STRIKE FIRST (6) is ticking along well and comes back a notch after finishing fourth last time. Drawn for a good run.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on April 30 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Upstage with 127lbs at $2.30. The start before that 3rd in a small field at Pakenham Cl1 on April 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Pula carrying 126lbs at $2.45. Overdue and gets chance. 1st Pick 4 M'lady Rose Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Billy Egan T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	177	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on April 30 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Upstage with 127lbs at $2.30. The start before that 3rd in a small field at Pakenham Cl1 on April 16 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Pula carrying 126lbs at $2.45. Overdue and gets chance.
3	Last start second last of 7 at Mornington Bm62 on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Panda's Spectrum carrying 121lbs at $10. The start before that won by 0.8 len at Werribee Bm56 April 11 over 1m in soft going defeating Milady carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Back in grade and capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 3 Here Comes Ruby Jockey: Nadia Daniels Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Nadia Daniels T: Matt Laurie	145	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start second last of 7 at Mornington Bm62 on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Panda's Spectrum carrying 121lbs at $10. The start before that won by 0.8 len at Werribee Bm56 April 11 over 1m in soft going defeating Milady carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Back in grade and capable of sharp improvement.
7	Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 7th of 9 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Beautifully carrying 125lbs at $31. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Sale 0 - 62 on May 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.75 len behind Bit Of Shoosh carrying 120lbs at $9.50. Fitter for two runs back and looks a leading contender. 3rd Pick 7 Nile Crocodile Jockey: Olivia East Trainer: Melissa Wells J: Olivia East T: Melissa Wells	121	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 7th of 9 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Beautifully carrying 125lbs at $31. Second-up 3rd of 9 at Sale 0 - 62 on May 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.75 len behind Bit Of Shoosh carrying 120lbs at $9.50. Fitter for two runs back and looks a leading contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.