AU - Moe - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

23.8K

VIEW

Verdict

WHO I THINK I AM (9) looks a solid each way hope in an open race. Her sixth at Kyneton came in a BM66 over 1 ?m on heavy ground, and she is better assessed on the Warrnambool maiden win prior. Blinkers go on here and this looks a nice option. GIRT BY SEA (6) is lightly raced and progressive, having followed a Kilmore debut second with a St Arnaud maiden win as odds-on favourite. Harder now but can't knock. ASEVENTY SEVEN (2) has the established mile credentials and looks suited coming back in trip from 1 ¼m here last time. DUKE OF CLARENCE (5) resumes. He got out over further last time in but kicks off at a good trip and can be running on late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Comes back to 1m after finishing sixth in a Kyneton BM66 over 1m on heavy ground, beaten just under six lengths after failing to finish it off. Her previous run was a Warrnambool Mdn win over Girl With A Pearl, and she has one win and three placings from eight starts overall. Her Warrnambool win reads well enough to make her the one to beat. 1st Pick 9 Who I Think I Am Jockey: Carleen Hefel Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Carleen Hefel T: Ciaron Maher	106	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Comes back to 1m after finishing sixth in a Kyneton BM66 over 1m on heavy ground, beaten just under six lengths after failing to finish it off. Her previous run was a Warrnambool Mdn win over Girl With A Pearl, and she has one win and three placings from eight starts overall. Her Warrnambool win reads well enough to make her the one to beat.
6	Lightly raced mare with a strong platform after a debut second at Kilmore and a St Arnaud Mdn win as odds-on favourite, where she led and held Intervened by just under a length. She is a $700,000 yearling purchase and has already won at this distance. Has upside and can measure up. 2nd Pick 6 Girt By Sea Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Mark Walker J: Thomas Stockdale T: Mark Walker	92	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Lightly raced mare with a strong platform after a debut second at Kilmore and a St Arnaud Mdn win as odds-on favourite, where she led and held Intervened by just under a length. She is a $700,000 yearling purchase and has already won at this distance. Has upside and can measure up.
2	Had more merit than the finishing position suggests when fifth over 1 ¼m at this track last start, beaten two and a half lengths after being held up near the ½f. Two back he was safely held in a Ballarat BM66, but he now gets weight relief and has won at this track and distance. Back in trip suits and should be right there. 3rd Pick 2 Aseventy Seven Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Brad Rawiller T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	130	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Had more merit than the finishing position suggests when fifth over 1 ¼m at this track last start, beaten two and a half lengths after being held up near the ½f. Two back he was safely held in a Ballarat BM66, but he now gets weight relief and has won at this track and distance. Back in trip suits and should be right there.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.