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5:40 AM

AU - Moe - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
10.4f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 9
18.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PERFUSE (2) finished 2 lengths from the winner in fourth last start after being in contention on the turn over 1 ¹/16m at Sale, an improvement on his first-up tenth at Pakenham the run before. Finds a more suitable contest and can take this out. POWER PIVOT (6) was beaten 4 lengths into fifth at the second run back from a break over 1 ¼m at Cranbourne at his latest appearance. Well placed to turn things around. TEMPEST MOON (4) returned from a spell three weeks ago when she was beaten 6 lengths into seventh over 1m at Bendigo. Has a fair record when second up, including two top-three finishes. Fitter this time. JUST DANCE (8) broke his maiden last start over 1 ¼m at Cranbourne, scoring by one length. Reunites with Jackie Beriman who was on board last start. Must be respected now that the penny has dropped. UP AND UNDER (7) has found the going tough after a dominant win three back and will find this more to his liking.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Perfuse silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind White Hot Mama with 129lbs at $26. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Sale Bm62 on June 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Harbour Town carrying 129lbs at $8.50. Profiles nicely. Not a bad effort last time and is open to improvement.

1st Pick
2

Perfuse

Jockey: Sam Kennedy

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Sam Kennedy

T: Patrick Payne

127---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind White Hot Mama with 129lbs at $26. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Sale Bm62 on June 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Harbour Town carrying 129lbs at $8.50. Profiles nicely. Not a bad effort last time and is open to improvement.

6
Power Pivot silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at this track 0 - 62 on May 28 over 1m, on a wet track, 4 len behind Annabelle Sunshine carrying 129lbs at $15. Second-up 5th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on June 21 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Rainsun carrying 125lbs at $19. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
6

Power Pivot

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Ken & Kasey Keys

J: Ben Allen

T: Ken & Kasey Keys

98---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at this track 0 - 62 on May 28 over 1m, on a wet track, 4 len behind Annabelle Sunshine carrying 129lbs at $15. Second-up 5th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on June 21 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Rainsun carrying 125lbs at $19. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

4
Tempest Moon silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months got back early 7th of 13 at Bendigo Elmore Cup on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Dark Simba with 115lbs at $41. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Taupo on August 17 over 1m, in the wet, 1.0 len behind With Grace with 125lbs at $9. Major player in this line up.

3rd Pick
4

Tempest Moon

Jockey: Bree Temple

Trainer: Dean Williams

J: Bree Temple

T: Dean Williams

86---11%17/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months got back early 7th of 13 at Bendigo Elmore Cup on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Dark Simba with 115lbs at $41. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Taupo on August 17 over 1m, in the wet, 1.0 len behind With Grace with 125lbs at $9. Major player in this line up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race