AU - Moe - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

15.8K

VIEW

Verdict

VICTORY TUNE (4) looks hardest to beat and is going far better than the recent form suggests. Midfield in the Silver Bowl final at Flemington two back then midfield in a richer race at Seymour last time. Freshened and is coming back in trip but will find this easier and will stalk the pace and finish hard. Deserves a win. KING WEST (1) was coming off a very long break when fourth at Sale fresh. Will strip much fitter for it and expected to give a sight. I SAID SO (6) is ready to win and looks hard to hold out. GAME PLAN (9) is hard to beat on her best form and will wind up late. SNITCHY (13) got off the mark last time and is worth following up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 7th of 11 in a Bm66 at Seymour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Camp Cable with 129lbs at $8.50. The start before that 7th of 12 in the Silver Bowl Final at Flemington on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Clevor Trever with 119lbs at $71. This easier and gets chance to break through. 1st Pick 4 Victory Tune Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Luke Currie T: Robbie Griffiths	115	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 7th of 11 in a Bm66 at Seymour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Camp Cable with 129lbs at $8.50. The start before that 7th of 12 in the Silver Bowl Final at Flemington on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Clevor Trever with 119lbs at $71. This easier and gets chance to break through.
1	Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sale on August 21 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Mainmankash with 130lbs at $13. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on October 31 over 6f, 14 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 130lbs at $11. Much fitter and expected to give a sight. 2nd Pick 1 King West Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Caitlin Hollowood T: Enver Jusufovic	99	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sale on August 21 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Mainmankash with 130lbs at $13. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on October 31 over 6f, 14 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 130lbs at $11. Much fitter and expected to give a sight.
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Bairnsdale on July 13 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Electric Elvis with 136lbs at $2.90. Second-up 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream with 129lbs at $4.80. Ready to win and looks hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 6 I Said So Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Wendy Kelly J: Jason Maskiell T: Wendy Kelly	103	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Bairnsdale on July 13 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Electric Elvis with 136lbs at $2.90. Second-up 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream with 129lbs at $4.80. Ready to win and looks hard to hold out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.