AU - Moe - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks an ideal assignment for AVENUES (1). Fitter for two runs back and will find this much easier than last time at Cranbourne. Goes very well third-up and the extra ground a plus. Gets chance. DISCOBAY (9) came off a poor run two back with a solid fourth last time. Has early speed and a low draw and will be in this for a long way. FIRST THOUGHT (3) is a lightly raced type who relished the extra ground last time when heavily bet and scored maiden win. Fitter again and has upside. Worth following up. DA DEPUTY (8) was outclassed over 1 ?m in much tougher grade last time but the start prior an effortless picnic winner. Has the ability and can bounce back this easier grade. MASTER POLANSKI (11) is coming off a picnic win but prior to that was racing in similar grade to this and knocking on the door. Confidence back and drops 22lbs on the win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Bm66 on January 23 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Global Eclipse with 126lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 on February 6 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Olney with 126lbs at $4.40. Goes well third-up and very well placed here. 1st Pick 1 Avenues Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont Trainer: Michael Kent J: Bailey Kinninmont T: Michael Kent	134	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Bm66 on January 23 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Global Eclipse with 126lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 on February 6 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Olney with 126lbs at $4.40. Goes well third-up and very well placed here.
9	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Werribee 0 - 56 on February 1 over 1m, 3 len behind Nicoffhome with 126lbs at $12. Before that second last of 11 at Mornington Bm62 on January 1 over 1 ½m, 15 len behind Tsitsipas carrying 121lbs at $26. Drawn to feature over the longer journey. 2nd Pick 9 Discobay Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Adrian Mcgregor J: Teo Nugent T: Adrian Mcgregor	78	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Werribee 0 - 56 on February 1 over 1m, 3 len behind Nicoffhome with 126lbs at $12. Before that second last of 11 at Mornington Bm62 on January 1 over 1 ½m, 15 len behind Tsitsipas carrying 121lbs at $26. Drawn to feature over the longer journey.
3	At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw February 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Golden Mask with 131lbs at $2.70. The start before that 8th of 14 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on January 24 over 1m, 4 len behind Tutto carrying 130lbs at $51. Strong winner last time and may well be worth following up. 3rd Pick 3 First Thought Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jake Noonan T: Ciaron Maher	131	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw February 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Golden Mask with 131lbs at $2.70. The start before that 8th of 14 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on January 24 over 1m, 4 len behind Tutto carrying 130lbs at $51. Strong winner last time and may well be worth following up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.