AU - Moe - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

16.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Wide open. BOOKMAN (7) has really put it together over the last couple of runs including a dominant win last time. Drops a few kilos for this and is fit and in form. Looks hard to hold out again. SARA'S ROCKET (11) is fitter for three runs back and has placed two of three this campaign. Runner-up in similar grade last time and can go one better. TEDDY BOY (3) is an interesting runner who resumes at the mile. Saves best form for this circuit and will relish the conditions. Has been trialling well and a bold showing is expected fresh. HARMONY (9) should be ready to fire after three runs back and drops a notch for this. TEMU TILLY (15) is a progressive filly with upside and comes off a Cranbourne win in her latest. Could well measure up again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Trpy May 1 over 1m defeating Lika Mosh carrying 142lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Terang Bm56 on April 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Habitein carrying 157lbs at $4.80. Drops in weight after dominant win latest and can measure up again. 1st Pick 7 Bookman Jockey: Logan Mcneil Trainer: David Noonan J: Logan Mcneil T: David Noonan	120	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Trpy May 1 over 1m defeating Lika Mosh carrying 142lbs at $2.60. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Terang Bm56 on April 19 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Habitein carrying 157lbs at $4.80. Drops in weight after dominant win latest and can measure up again.
11	Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The run before that 7th of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Eleanor Dumont carrying 131lbs at $12. Has ability and is expected to run well again. 2nd Pick 11 Sara's Rocket Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Craig Newitt T: Jamie Edwards	100	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The run before that 7th of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Eleanor Dumont carrying 131lbs at $12. Has ability and is expected to run well again.
3	Resuming. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len this track Bm56 September 23 over 1m slow track defeating Vegas On Fire with 132lbs at $10. Previous preparation first-up won by long-neck this track Mdn-Sw June 1 over 1m slow track defeating Infinite Jest carrying 131lbs at $41. Best form is here and should be primed for a bold showing. 3rd Pick 3 Teddy Boy Jockey: Christopher Pang Trainer: Claire Patterson J: Christopher Pang T: Claire Patterson	62	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len this track Bm56 September 23 over 1m slow track defeating Vegas On Fire with 132lbs at $10. Previous preparation first-up won by long-neck this track Mdn-Sw June 1 over 1m slow track defeating Infinite Jest carrying 131lbs at $41. Best form is here and should be primed for a bold showing.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

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A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.