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3:15 AM

AU - Moe - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
34.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEDJET (9) brings the most appealing profile after justifying strong market support in a BM66 at Cranbourne, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length and keeping his strong campaign rolling. Progressive former import rising through the grades and should go close again. FEELING DUSTY (8) is a danger on ratings, with a strong good-track record and weight relief after being beaten by Overpriced at Sale. He was much better two runs back when a long-neck third at Bendigo and can rebound third-up. OVERPRICED (5) has earned respect with consecutive BM62 and BM66 wins, including that Sale defeat of Feeling Dusty. Have to include again. HOUDINI (3) closed strongly first-up in a BM78 at Cranbourne after a slow start and can improve with added fitness. FRIDGE MONSTER (2) perhaps next best off the Cranbourne fourth two back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Hedjet silk

Won a BM66 at Cranbourne last start as a well-supported favourite, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length after letting down nicely in a tight finish. That followed a solid fourth at Sale when beaten a length and a half on heavy ground. Profiles well and sets up for a beautiful run.

1st Pick
9

Hedjet

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald

J: Damian Lane

T: Clinton Mcdonald

158---45%5/4

Analysis

Won a BM66 at Cranbourne last start as a well-supported favourite, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length after letting down nicely in a tight finish. That followed a solid fourth at Sale when beaten a length and a half on heavy ground. Profiles well and sets up for a beautiful run.

8
Feeling Dusty silk

Was below expectations when seventh behind Overpriced in a BM66 at Sale, beaten just under five lengths after settling back and never fully threatening. The run prior was much better, flashing home for third at Bendigo when beaten a long neck at generous odds. Sale run was plain, but the Bendigo third reads well for this.

2nd Pick
8

Feeling Dusty

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Charlotte Littlefield

155---11%17/2

Analysis

Was below expectations when seventh behind Overpriced in a BM66 at Sale, beaten just under five lengths after settling back and never fully threatening. The run prior was much better, flashing home for third at Bendigo when beaten a long neck at generous odds. Sale run was plain, but the Bendigo third reads well for this.

5
Overpriced silk

Comes in with winning momentum after leading and holding on in a BM66 at Sale, beating Mount Sabyinyo by half a length and also accounting for Feeling Dusty. He had won a BM62 at Warrnambool by the same margin the run prior, so the form is honest and progressive. Can go on with it.

3rd Pick
5

Overpriced

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Dean Binaisse

J: Non Runner

T: Dean Binaisse

134---10%9/1

Analysis

Comes in with winning momentum after leading and holding on in a BM66 at Sale, beating Mount Sabyinyo by half a length and also accounting for Feeling Dusty. He had won a BM62 at Warrnambool by the same margin the run prior, so the form is honest and progressive. Can go on with it.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.