AU - Moe - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

STAHNADO (5) made an eye-catching return when just missed in a richer race at Pakenham fresh. Claim helps and fitter again. Back in this company looks hard to beat with a repeat performance, NEROLA (4) also has returned from a break in good order, settling last but coming with a barnstorming run to score. Has upside and fitter again so worth following up. JUST REMEMBER IT (1) just missed fresh then was safely held latest but in tougher grade. Is a third-up winner and can do much better this line-up. MYSTERY BLONDE (8) is better than the last two runs. Placed only try course and distance and can improve here. BOOM BOOM BETTY (6) is much better than latest and this easier. Rating from the fresh-up run augers well for this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on January 29 over 5f, long-neck behind Tuscaloosa Gem with 119lbs at $12. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 12 over 5f, 7 len behind Trembles carrying 120lbs at $5.50. Eye-catching return and looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 5 Stahnado Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: John Mcardle J: Sam Kennedy T: John Mcardle	168	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on January 29 over 5f, long-neck behind Tuscaloosa Gem with 119lbs at $12. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 12 over 5f, 7 len behind Trembles carrying 120lbs at $5.50. Eye-catching return and looks hard to beat.
4	Second run back. First-up after three months settled well back, won by 0.5 len at Werribee 0 - 56 February 1 over 5f defeating Please Me Do with 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl1 on September 28 over 5f, 6 len behind El Beatle carrying 123lbs at $31. Back in great order and has good upside. 2nd Pick 4 Nerola Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Ryan Houston T: Simon Zahra	95	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months settled well back, won by 0.5 len at Werribee 0 - 56 February 1 over 5f defeating Please Me Do with 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl1 on September 28 over 5f, 6 len behind El Beatle carrying 123lbs at $31. Back in great order and has good upside.
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on January 13 over 5f, neck behind Tookay Pete carrying 141lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on February 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Blue Akoya with 134lbs at $3.40. Suited here and should be running on hard. 3rd Pick 1 Just Remember It Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Carly Thomas J: Jake Noonan T: Carly Thomas	128	-	-	-	1%	99/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on January 13 over 5f, neck behind Tookay Pete carrying 141lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on February 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Blue Akoya with 134lbs at $3.40. Suited here and should be running on hard.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.