AU - Moe - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.1f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

23.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Even race but EMANATING (8) looks well placed after the last couple in richer maidens at Pakenham. Placed there two back then stepped to a mile latest and got home to finish sixth. Suited here and gets a chance. RAGHNALL (6) has placed at both runs this time in. Beaten just a neck last time and looks ready to go one better. ROYAL BUSINESS (7) turned in a much better run at his second appearance last time out when 2.75 lengths from the winner in fourth over 7 ½f at Mornington. Can improve further and should be in the finish. PHANTOM'S CHASE (5) tracked the speed and fought on well fresh to finish fifth at Werribee and not beaten far. Expected to be much better for it. CHRONIC (1) is overdue and with the blinkers added looks one of the chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Emperor Tzu with 127lbs at $11. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avenue Montaigne carrying 126lbs at $6. Well placed this line-up and gets chance to break through. 1st Pick 8 Emanating Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Craig Blackshaw J: Luke Cartwright T: Craig Blackshaw	86	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Emperor Tzu with 127lbs at $11. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avenue Montaigne carrying 126lbs at $6. Well placed this line-up and gets chance to break through.
6	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 7 ½f, 6 len behind Zamparini Spirit with 131lbs at $26. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 1m, neck behind Monsun's Pride with 131lbs at $13. Close to a win and looks hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 6 Raghnall Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Shannon Roughan J: Ben Kennedy T: Shannon Roughan	127	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 7 ½f, 6 len behind Zamparini Spirit with 131lbs at $26. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 1m, neck behind Monsun's Pride with 131lbs at $13. Close to a win and looks hard to hold out.
7	Had two starts to date. At very long odds at debut, 7th of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on April 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Amedei with 130lbs at $61. Second-up 4th in a small field at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Wonderdownunder with 130lbs at $19. Well placed and gets his chance to break through. 3rd Pick 7 Royal Business Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Jake Noonan T: David & Coral Feek	85	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At very long odds at debut, 7th of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on April 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Amedei with 130lbs at $61. Second-up 4th in a small field at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Wonderdownunder with 130lbs at $19. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.