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3:55 AM

AU - Moe - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.1f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 9
22.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JENNI POPPINS (11) started favourite last time out over 7f at Sale but found one better, making it three minor placings from three starts this campaign. Peak fitness now and suited up to this trip. The gun draw is the icing on the cake. THE CHARLATAN (9) returned last time with a solid second at Donald over 1m after being prominent at the bend. Can only be better for that and will be strong late. Just a matter of whether he gets too far back from that gate. SHE'S ASTUNNERARCH (12) was in the firing line on the bend and progressed nicely last start to finish a close third over 1m at Wangaratta after missing the placings at the previous appearance. Finds a suitable race and can get the job done. OVERPRICED (7) progressed nicely last time out to finish just one length from the winner in second over 1m at this track. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. NGONGOTAHA (6) has been improving with each run and looks suited out in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Jenni Poppins silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 7f, in the wet, 4 len behind Tisseyre with 127lbs at $3.30. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Le Notre with 128lbs at $3. Looks very hard to beat.

1st Pick
11

Jenni Poppins

Jockey: Jett Stanley

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Jett Stanley

T: Lloyd Kennewell

106---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 7f, in the wet, 4 len behind Tisseyre with 127lbs at $3.30. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Le Notre with 128lbs at $3. Looks very hard to beat.

9
The Charlatan silk

Second-up. First-up after five months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Impending Swan with 131lbs at $7. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Dad And Dave with 131lbs at $10. Fitter and is a leading contender.

2nd Pick
9

The Charlatan

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Non Runner

T: Patrick Payne

149---1%1000/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Impending Swan with 131lbs at $7. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on December 11 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Dad And Dave with 131lbs at $10. Fitter and is a leading contender.

12
She's Astunnerarch silk

Recent form sound. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Spietata carrying 127lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind It Matters with 127lbs at $3.90. Will be hard to beat.

3rd Pick
12

She's Astunnerarch

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

111---12%15/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Spietata carrying 127lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind It Matters with 127lbs at $3.90. Will be hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.