AU - Moe - Race 3

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.9K

VIEW

Verdict

OPEN FIRE (14) has the most reliable recent profile, with consecutive fourths at Ballarat and Wangaratta and genuine excuses last time when slow away and steadied before finishing just over a length from Red Light Rachel. The Damian Lane booking strengthens the case and she looks the runner to beat. LEVENT (9) is the clear danger after finishing only a length and a half from Top Rich at Mornington, with that metro line reading well for this maiden. CHIQUITIPAPA (3) is the unknown but has trialled four times and his close second at Cranbourne gives him enough foundation to be treated seriously on debut. ZEFFIRELLI (8) has poor race form to overcome from last campaign but looks to be going well at the trials and can improve. PIERROBID (6) is going okay and in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Produced another solid run when fourth at Wangaratta, beaten just over a length after being slow to begin and steadied near the 6 ½f, so that effort has clear merit. She had also been fourth at Ballarat, beaten just over two lengths, and now gets Damian Lane for the Price and Kent stable. Brings the best recent form and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 14 Open Fire Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Damian Lane T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	130	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Produced another solid run when fourth at Wangaratta, beaten just over a length after being slow to begin and steadied near the 6 ½f, so that effort has clear merit. She had also been fourth at Ballarat, beaten just over two lengths, and now gets Damian Lane for the Price and Kent stable. Brings the best recent form and looks the one to beat.
9	Comes through a strong enough Mornington line, finishing fifth and beaten only a length and a half behind Top Rich after being tightened shortly after the start. His Seymour run prior included an awkward beginning and early wide work, yet he still kept on evenly. Jamie Mott rides and the recent form stacks up strongly. 2nd Pick 9 Levent Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Amy & Ash Yargi J: Jamie Mott T: Amy & Ash Yargi	153	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Comes through a strong enough Mornington line, finishing fifth and beaten only a length and a half behind Top Rich after being tightened shortly after the start. His Seymour run prior included an awkward beginning and early wide work, yet he still kept on evenly. Jamie Mott rides and the recent form stacks up strongly.
3	Makes his debut after four Cranbourne trials, the latest a close second over 7f, which gives him a solid grounding for a mile first time out. Enver Jusufovic has a sound debut profile from the figures supplied, and this gelding meets a maiden where several exposed runners have had chances. Looks well enough prepared to make an immediate impact. 3rd Pick 3 Chiquitipapa Jockey: Carleen Hefel Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Carleen Hefel T: Enver Jusufovic	39	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Makes his debut after four Cranbourne trials, the latest a close second over 7f, which gives him a solid grounding for a mile first time out. Enver Jusufovic has a sound debut profile from the figures supplied, and this gelding meets a maiden where several exposed runners have had chances. Looks well enough prepared to make an immediate impact.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.