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5:00 AM

AU - Moe - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
10.3f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 9
23.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WOLVES' DEN (7) just missed two back then got a long way back last time and was one-paced to the line, the jockey reporting to the stewards that he felt the gelding needed more ground. Gets that here and gets a chance to atone. ROCK CATCHER (12) was favourite and looked close to a win last time but bombed the start and was always well out her ground. Made good ground and with a better start should go close this time. BIVVY (3) was placed on debut then quickly out to a mile in a richer maiden last time. Has upside and the extra ground is a plus. Improver. Same goes for BELFAST BOY (2) who is a two-start maiden with the blinkers added. Wound up strongly and can only be improved. JONQUIL (11) was course and distance placed two back and rates highly on that run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Wolves' Den silk

At the latest run 8th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 8 len behind Velvet City with 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 0.5 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $8.50. Extra trip suits and can do much better.

1st Pick
7

Wolves' Den

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Julius Sandhu

J: Jake Noonan

T: Julius Sandhu

179---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run 8th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 8 len behind Velvet City with 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 0.5 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $8.50. Extra trip suits and can do much better.

12
Rock Catcher silk

At the latest run got back early 8th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Fierce Fiasco with 127lbs at $2.90. The run before that 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 10 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Immortalised with 127lbs at $3.80. Bombed start and too far back latest but this is a great chance to atone.

2nd Pick
12

Rock Catcher

Jockey: Beau Mertens

Trainer: Greg Eurell

J: Beau Mertens

T: Greg Eurell

104---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run got back early 8th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Fierce Fiasco with 127lbs at $2.90. The run before that 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 10 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Immortalised with 127lbs at $3.80. Bombed start and too far back latest but this is a great chance to atone.

3
Bivvy silk

Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on July 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Heavy Haulage with 131lbs at $3.40. Second-up 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 10 over 1m, 6 len behind Immortalised carrying 131lbs at $6. Has upside and extra trip looks a plus.

3rd Pick
3

Bivvy

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Cindy Alderson

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Cindy Alderson

82---19%9/2

Analysis

Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on July 21 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Heavy Haulage with 131lbs at $3.40. Second-up 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 10 over 1m, 6 len behind Immortalised carrying 131lbs at $6. Has upside and extra trip looks a plus.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.