AU - Moe - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

DIVINE PROVENANCE (2) has not raced since being well supported on his debut, when he finished ninth, beaten 5 lengths. Gelded since and three trials suggest we'll see a different horse this time around. TYPHOON ALI (5) is back after a break of nine months and on debut for Matt Laurie. Will find this much easier than the two races he contested when trained by Chris Waller and has looked good in two trials for the new stable. COME DANCING (8) has started twice, missing the frame on debut then doing a better job to finish third last time, beaten 4 lengths over 6f at this track. Progressive type who is among the leading chances. DIAMOND MILA (1) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race and finished 4 lengths away in fifth last time out over 6f at this track after being in contention on the corner. Nicely placed to get the prize. ZWASP (6) struggles to put it all together on raceday but has the talent to feature and could show up at a price.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Resuming off 13 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on June 10 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Lunar Arc carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Had seven recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial won a Cranbourne jump-out on June 29. Did little on debut but given time after that and trialling well since being gelded. 1st Pick 2 Divine Provenance Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Enver Jusufovic	92	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Resuming off 13 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on June 10 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Lunar Arc carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Had seven recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial won a Cranbourne jump-out on June 29. Did little on debut but given time after that and trialling well since being gelded.
5	Resuming. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn October 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Beechworth with 125lbs at $17. On debut second last of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn September 17 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Snitzel Dancer with 126lbs at $8.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. New to the Laurie camp and trials suggests a good showing is on the cards. 2nd Pick 5 Typhoon Ali Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Patrick Moloney T: Matt Laurie	128	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn October 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Beechworth with 125lbs at $17. On debut second last of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn September 17 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Snitzel Dancer with 126lbs at $8.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. New to the Laurie camp and trials suggests a good showing is on the cards.
8	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 6th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Dark Fox with 123lbs at $3.20. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Foxsky carrying 123lbs at $15. Promising type who gets her chance in this suitable contest. 3rd Pick 8 Come Dancing Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Beau Mertens T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	105	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 6th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Dark Fox with 123lbs at $3.20. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Foxsky carrying 123lbs at $15. Promising type who gets her chance in this suitable contest.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.