AU - Moe - Race 2

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BLUE LIGHT DISCO (3) brings the strongest exposed profile despite resuming from a long break. He was placed three times from four starts last campaign, was beaten half a length at Cranbourne when odds-on, and has had two trials to prepare. Drawn wide but can roll forward and take beating. THE SHERIFF (15) has more to prove after weakening as favourite at Cranbourne, but the Damian Lane booking and the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr stable profile keep him firmly in the winning discussion, expect quick improvement. WEASEL SEA (7) is hard to fault for consistency, with seven placings from eight starts and another close fourth at Mornington. Sets a good standard again. BEMM RIVER (2) resumes off a Moe trial win and has twice gone very close at Sale, can pick up where he left off from a good gate. WYANDRA (8) should be ready to fire third up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell with the right foundation, having had two trials since racing and a close second at Cranbourne in the latest. He was beaten half a length at Cranbourne when odds-on at his final run before the break, having raced wide early, and had also run second at Ballarat. Lane goes on and he looks the one to beat despite a wide gate. 1st Pick 3 Blue Light Disco Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Damian Lane T: Ciaron Maher	68	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell with the right foundation, having had two trials since racing and a close second at Cranbourne in the latest. He was beaten half a length at Cranbourne when odds-on at his final run before the break, having raced wide early, and had also run second at Ballarat. Lane goes on and he looks the one to beat despite a wide gate.
15	Returns from a one-month freshening after a plain Cranbourne eighth, where he was sent out favourite but raced keenly and weakened late. His debut at this track was better than it reads, finishing seventh and beaten just over four lengths after being held up from the 1f. Can bounce back strongly. 2nd Pick 15 The Sheriff Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Damian Lane T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	88	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Returns from a one-month freshening after a plain Cranbourne eighth, where he was sent out favourite but raced keenly and weakened late. His debut at this track was better than it reads, finishing seventh and beaten just over four lengths after being held up from the 1f. Can bounce back strongly.
7	Has been remarkably consistent for a maiden, with seven placings from eight starts and another solid fourth at Mornington last start, beaten a length in metro company. He was restrained early there and still stayed on well enough, while his Bairnsdale third two back came after travelling kindly. Easier than last time and rates highly. 3rd Pick 7 Weasel Sea Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Jason Warren J: Teo Nugent T: Jason Warren	176	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Has been remarkably consistent for a maiden, with seven placings from eight starts and another solid fourth at Mornington last start, beaten a length in metro company. He was restrained early there and still stayed on well enough, while his Bairnsdale third two back came after travelling kindly. Easier than last time and rates highly.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.