AU - Moe - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Small field, but intriguing race with a few who have been knocking on the door clashing with some who have impressed at the trials. Will side with one of the raced in ETON AFFAIR (2), who has finished second in two runs this time in and draws well. That experience and fitness could prove vital. HERE'S MATILDA (7) is a first-starter from the Maher stable who didn't do a lot in the first two trials but jumped out of the ground late at the latest to edge out handy stablemate Star Trip. Can make a winning start. CANNY MISS (6) was well-supported on debut and while beaten 3-1/4 lengths, she was far from disgraced, will be better for the outing and might also be better suited by the extra distance. RED RABBIT (8) is proving costly and was again supported last start when disappointing, but is better than that. Heavy ground would be a query but she's good enough to bounce back. NARILAO (4) has won a couple of recent trials, albeit ridden out, but could give a sight on speed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Dark Fox carrying 128lbs at $8. Second run from a spell 2nd of 7 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Somersault with 128lbs at $5.50. Well placed. In form and is a leading hope. 1st Pick 2 Eton Affair Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Tim Fitzsimmons J: Billy Egan T: Tim Fitzsimmons	228	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Dark Fox carrying 128lbs at $8. Second run from a spell 2nd of 7 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Somersault with 128lbs at $5.50. Well placed. In form and is a leading hope.
7	Three-year-old filly (Shamus Award - Bali Beach) who was bought for AUD $ 3,250 (Inglis 2026 January Online Sale). Ciaron Maher has her ready for this with three recent trials leading in today's debut. Won her most recent trial at Cranbourne over 4f on June 15. Swept home from last to beat the handy Star Trip in latest jumpout and draws to advantage. 2nd Pick 7 Here's Matilda Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Ciaron Maher	84	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Three-year-old filly (Shamus Award - Bali Beach) who was bought for AUD $ 3,250 (Inglis 2026 January Online Sale). Ciaron Maher has her ready for this with three recent trials leading in today's debut. Won her most recent trial at Cranbourne over 4f on June 15. Swept home from last to beat the handy Star Trip in latest jumpout and draws to advantage.
6	Was well-supported at debut, sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 5f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Neotropical carrying 128lbs at $2.50. Nicely placed to open her account. 3rd Pick 6 Canny Miss Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Alexander Rae J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Alexander Rae	132	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 5f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Neotropical carrying 128lbs at $2.50. Nicely placed to open her account.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.