AU - Moe - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

23.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Wide open but on best figures MISS LOLA (10) should go close. All form has been in NSW, placing in four of seven and in far richer maidens in Sydney. First try in this area and is yet to see soft ground but hard to beat on almost any of the figures returned so far. FEAR THE IMPACT (1) was put away after a debut fifth, then returned finishing runner-up last time. Wound up strongly and fitter again looks a top chance to break through. JOHNNY TIGHTLIPS (3) was strongly fancied on debut over 5 ½f at Kilmore and found one better. Has upside and is worth following up. THINK ABOUT HER (12) is a well-related three-year-old filly on debut. By So You Think from Sultah and plenty of winners in the family. Well educated and off a low draw. Watch the market closely. REAL HEIR (5) has fitness and was beaten only a length in a richer maiden latest. Among the main chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. Best NSW figures stack up and expected to run well. 1st Pick 10 Miss Lola Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jye Mcneil T: Chris Waller	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. Best NSW figures stack up and expected to run well.
1	Third race start. First start 5th of 9 at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sassy For Sure with 128lbs at $11. Returned from break 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Wound up strongly fresh and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Fear The Impact Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Jason Maskiell T: Gavin Bedggood	139	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third race start. First start 5th of 9 at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sassy For Sure with 128lbs at $11. Returned from break 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Wound up strongly fresh and looks hard to beat.
3	Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 18 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Paris Collection carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Went close on debut and looms as a serious contender. 3rd Pick 3 Johnny Tightlips Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Thomas Stockdale T: Enver Jusufovic	100	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 18 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Paris Collection carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Went close on debut and looms as a serious contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.