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2:10 AM

AU - Moe - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
12.2f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 9
22.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (4) is racing well and is closing in on a win, the latest effort a solid third at Pakenham Synthetic over 1 ?m after he worked home in great style. Ratings suggest he has an edge over his rivals here. SPICY APPLE (5) has been racing in great heart with three top-three finishes on end, the latest a second over 1 5/16m at Echuca when he was in the firing line all the way. Looks well placed so expect another big run. FARASI (6) was out of the money when resuming two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 1 ½m at Bendigo, beaten 5 lengths into sixth. Has her share of talent. Hard to beat in this suitable race. MORTAL PEAK (1) could only manage to finish seventh at his latest appearance over 1 ¼m at Cranbourne. This looks a nice race so expect him to finish closer. MUNGERANNIE (2) did little in two flat runs before a fair effort over the jumps last start, so should be at peak fitness now.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Poor Ol' Johny Ray silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Itsagiven with 131lbs at $3.50. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Capable of giving a tremendous sight.

1st Pick
4

Poor Ol' Johny Ray

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Denis Pagan

J: Teo Nugent

T: Denis Pagan

211---80%1/4

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Itsagiven with 131lbs at $3.50. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Capable of giving a tremendous sight.

5
Spicy Apple silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on June 23 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Untethered Soul carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Before that 3rd of 10 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.1 len behind Iron Legacy carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.

2nd Pick
5

Spicy Apple

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Non Runner

T: Patrick Payne

175---1%1000/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on June 23 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Untethered Soul carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Before that 3rd of 10 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.1 len behind Iron Legacy carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Ready to win after a solid performance last time out.

6
Farasi silk

Third-up today. First-up 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 11 len behind Squid Pro Quo with 127lbs at $21. Second-up 6th of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 120lbs at $51. Profiles nicely. Expected to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
6

Farasi

Jockey: Nadia Daniels

Trainer: Jarrod Robinson

J: Nadia Daniels

T: Jarrod Robinson

92---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 11 len behind Squid Pro Quo with 127lbs at $21. Second-up 6th of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 120lbs at $51. Profiles nicely. Expected to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.