AU - Moe - Race 1

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.9K

VIEW

Verdict

MARBLES (10) brings the clear form standard after debuting with a fifth in the G3 David Coles Stakes at Morphettville, beaten just under four lengths after racing keenly and being steadied near the 1 ½f. She resumes off a Cranbourne trial win and that stakes exposure reads strongly for this. BORIDI (3) is the proven racehorse among the main dangers, having placed three times from four starts and returning off a Pakenham Synthetic trial win, though barrier 13 makes the task less straightforward. BALLSINTHEAIR (2) is an interesting debutant for Gavin Bedggood, who has a 30% debut strike rate and the Cranbourne trial win gives him a solid starting point, watch the betting. CHANTESS (7) had genuine interference on debut at Pakenham before charging home for fourth, and barrier 1 gives her the chance to improve into the money. MISTRESSOF MAYFAIR (12) is worth watching for the Laurie yard off a jumpout win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Returns from a lengthy spell after debuting in the G3 David Coles Stakes at Morphettville, where she was fifth to Brave Hustler and beaten just under four lengths despite racing keenly and being steadied near the 1 ½f. She has since won a Cranbourne trial, and the $675,000 yearling purchase is with a leading stable at this track. Stakes form reads well and she should take beating second time around. 1st Pick 10 Marbles Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Craig Newitt T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	106	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after debuting in the G3 David Coles Stakes at Morphettville, where she was fifth to Brave Hustler and beaten just under four lengths despite racing keenly and being steadied near the 1 ½f. She has since won a Cranbourne trial, and the $675,000 yearling purchase is with a leading stable at this track. Stakes form reads well and she should take beating second time around.
3	Returns from a five-month break after closing last campaign with two strong seconds, most recently beaten a long neck by Pump The Pedals at Ballarat Synthetic as favourite. He had also been second to Hyper Ballad at Pakenham Synthetic, and the 5 ½f profile is solid with three placings from three tries around the trip. Wide draw is the query but he has ability. 2nd Pick 3 Boridi Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Non Runner T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	68	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after closing last campaign with two strong seconds, most recently beaten a long neck by Pump The Pedals at Ballarat Synthetic as favourite. He had also been second to Hyper Ballad at Pakenham Synthetic, and the 5 ½f profile is solid with three placings from three tries around the trip. Wide draw is the query but he has ability.
2	Makes his debut after winning a Cranbourne trial, which gives him a sound platform for a first raceday appearance. Gavin Bedggood's supplied debut record of 6 wins from 20 starters is a positive profile, and Jamie Mott is a strong booking. Looks a live winning chance first time of asking. 3rd Pick 2 Ballsintheair Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Jamie Mott T: Gavin Bedggood	62	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Makes his debut after winning a Cranbourne trial, which gives him a sound platform for a first raceday appearance. Gavin Bedggood's supplied debut record of 6 wins from 20 starters is a positive profile, and Jamie Mott is a strong booking. Looks a live winning chance first time of asking.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.