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7:00 AM

AU - Kyneton - Race 8

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
9.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BRUTALRULE (7) has come back well, winning his maiden nicely fresh at Casterton before just finding one better out to 1 ¹/16m at Warrnambool. He can improve again third up and draws much better here, expect he can sit in the first few and give a sight. HABITUAL (8) was a dominant maiden winner two back, solid as favourite last time at Swan Hill in a BM62. This suits nicely and with a good ride from a tricky gate he'll be hard to hold out. JUST SWIFT (11) is racing consistently, a winner two back at Ballarat Synthetic then good again at Donald. She'll be thereabouts again. CATALONA (14) is fresh and will be running on from back in the field.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Brutalrule silk

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len in a Mdn-Sw at Casterton on August 30 over 7f on a soft track defeating Piklemegranmother with 131lbs at $4. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 1 ¹/16m, head behind Hill Cry with 128lbs at $11. Going well and looks a key hope.

1st Pick
7

Brutalrule

Jockey: Ryan Hurdle

Trainer: Niki O'shea

J: Ryan Hurdle

T: Niki O'shea

128---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len in a Mdn-Sw at Casterton on August 30 over 7f on a soft track defeating Piklemegranmother with 131lbs at $4. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 1 ¹/16m, head behind Hill Cry with 128lbs at $11. Going well and looks a key hope.

8
Habitual silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 2 len behind Sound Of Jura with 128lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win in a Mdn-Sw at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1m defeating Koyuga Rip carrying 131lbs at $2.35. Useful type and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
8

Habitual

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: M Lawson

J: Linda Meech

T: M Lawson

111---27%11/4

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 2 len behind Sound Of Jura with 128lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win in a Mdn-Sw at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1m defeating Koyuga Rip carrying 131lbs at $2.35. Useful type and can bounce back.

11
Just Swift silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, neck behind Fiorowngood with 130lbs at $15. The start before that won by 1.3 len in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 1 5/16m defeating Only Opera carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Going well and looks a key hope.

3rd Pick
11

Just Swift

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Mitchell Freedman

J: John Allen

T: Mitchell Freedman

125---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 9 in a Bm56 at Donald on September 12 over 1m, neck behind Fiorowngood with 130lbs at $15. The start before that won by 1.3 len in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 1 5/16m defeating Only Opera carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Going well and looks a key hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.