AU - Kyneton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.2f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive. TOP ARCTIC (2) is third-up and can find his best with the step up in trip. Needs some luck pushing forward but she races well here and the 4lbs claim is handy. OUTCASTER (9) got well back and ran below expectations last time at Stony Creek over 1 5/16m. Had just missed this distance range at Yarra Valley prior and 3x winning rider Noonan is reunited, replacing the 4lbs apprentice. Draws inside and should get every chance. UNQUESTIONABLY (3) comes out of the same contest at Stony Creek beaten 1.5 lengths as favourite. Made sharp improvement and he also has winning claims. TRACK PATCHER (5) out of the same race peaks and is capable of better.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 19 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Power Cable with 133lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Hanging Rock Bm56 on January 1 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Trinity's D'oro carrying 133lbs at $10. One of the top contenders. 1st Pick 2 Top Arctic Jockey: Christopher Pang Trainer: Steven King J: Christopher Pang T: Steven King	97	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 19 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Power Cable with 133lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Hanging Rock Bm56 on January 1 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Trinity's D'oro carrying 133lbs at $10. One of the top contenders.
9	Most recently 5th of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on January 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 6 len behind Tactfull carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 29 over 1 ³/16m, 0.8 len behind Takemetothemoon with 127lbs at $8. In a suitable race and looks sure to feature. 2nd Pick 9 Outcaster Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Rachael Cunningham J: Jake Noonan T: Rachael Cunningham	122	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on January 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 6 len behind Tactfull carrying 123lbs at $6. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 29 over 1 ³/16m, 0.8 len behind Takemetothemoon with 127lbs at $8. In a suitable race and looks sure to feature.
3	Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on January 18 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Tactfull with 132lbs at $3.90. The run before that 8th of 12 at Cranbourne 0-62 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Fiery Deal carrying 127lbs at $11. Well placed and gets his chance to break through. 3rd Pick 3 Unquestionably Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Neil Dyer J: Brad Rawiller T: Neil Dyer	146	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Stony Creek 0 - 56 on January 18 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Tactfull with 132lbs at $3.90. The run before that 8th of 12 at Cranbourne 0-62 on January 10 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Fiery Deal carrying 127lbs at $11. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.