AU - Kilmore - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

ROYAL HERITAGE (7) has battled in his last couple of starts over 7f, and dropping back in trip could be what is best for him at this stage of his career. He won't lack fitness, and with the aid of the pole position, he is worth another chance. I SAID SO (5) has been racing well off some bad draws this prep, and he is drawn slightly closer in to the fence this time. He is also down in class, and expected to figure in the top 4 again. SUSPECT (4) resumes from a spell, and has needed time to mature. He will never live up to his nearly 2 million dollar price tag as a yearling, but he is still only lightly tried, and more than capable of progressing further than BM56 company. BLACK ADAM (1) is a chance on wet ground. Keep safe.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 in a C,G&E Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Shooter Mcgavin carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 6f defeating Hidden Witness carrying 130lbs at $2.35. Hard to beat again. 1st Pick 6 Manchego Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Non Runner T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	126	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 in a C,G&E Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Shooter Mcgavin carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 6f defeating Hidden Witness carrying 130lbs at $2.35. Hard to beat again.
7	Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm56 at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Racey Casey carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bell's Bighouse carrying 136lbs at $8.50. Great chance to bounce back into form. 2nd Pick 7 Royal Heritage Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Nigel Blackiston J: Brad Rawiller T: Nigel Blackiston	117	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm56 at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Racey Casey carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bell's Bighouse carrying 136lbs at $8.50. Great chance to bounce back into form.
5	Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wetumpka with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Racing well and is nicely placed. 3rd Pick 5 I Said So Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Wendy Kelly J: Jason Maskiell T: Wendy Kelly	110	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wetumpka with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Racing well and is nicely placed.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.