AU - Kilmore - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

10f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

22.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ARABIAN PRINCE (5) resumed at big odds in a Caulfield Open 3 over 1600 and needed the run. Brought strong Listed and Group form to that and is sure to appreciate the step up in trip. Has his first start in a maiden, and with the extra fitness, he should have them well covered. If the above is off his game, NIGHTOWL (2) will be there to pounce. Drifted well back last start then wound up strongly beaten just 1.2 lengths over 1 ¼m at Ballarat. That was his first try over a middle distance, and he'll finish hard. SNOBBERY (7) led and missed a whisker in a Stony Creek maiden over 1 5/16m, heavily bet. This is tougher, but he will be fitter again and is heading in the right direction. HOT SPIRIT (11) missed by 2.3L in the Nightowl race at Ballarat. Jumped at a high price but gave a good sight. She'll be around the mark on that effort.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Second run back. First-up after four months settled back and ran on when 10th of 16 at Caulfield Vobis Guineas on March 14 over 1m, 6 len behind Salty Pearl carrying 128lbs at $51. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Caulfield in the G3 N Robinson on October 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind Autumn Mystery with 126lbs at $5.50. Has the class to win comfortably. 1st Pick 5 Arabian Prince Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Michael Kent J: Billy Egan T: Michael Kent	218	-	-	-	80%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months settled back and ran on when 10th of 16 at Caulfield Vobis Guineas on March 14 over 1m, 6 len behind Salty Pearl carrying 128lbs at $51. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Caulfield in the G3 N Robinson on October 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind Autumn Mystery with 126lbs at $5.50. Has the class to win comfortably.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind Princess Painton with 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Killenaule carrying 131lbs at $2.05. Encouraging effort last start. Can be in the finish. 2nd Pick 2 Nightowl Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Andrew Noblet J: John Allen T: Andrew Noblet	177	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind Princess Painton with 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on February 22 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Killenaule carrying 131lbs at $2.05. Encouraging effort last start. Can be in the finish.
7	Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going neck behind Mayeki with 130lbs at $2.05. The start before that 3rd of 8 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on February 15 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Helping Hands with 130lbs at $8.50. Promising effort last time out. One of the better hopes. 3rd Pick 7 Snobbery Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Jett Stanley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	115	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going neck behind Mayeki with 130lbs at $2.05. The start before that 3rd of 8 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on February 15 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Helping Hands with 130lbs at $8.50. Promising effort last time out. One of the better hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

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Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.