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6:40 AM

AU - Horsham - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SURFY PETE (10) wasn't far away last time out, finishing third over 1m at Ballarat to continue a good run of form. Slight rise in trip won't hurt and he should take beating. WEATHER DELAY (5) was safely held when 15th last time out over 1 ?m at Morphettville, beaten 12 lengths but was solid winning prior and can turn things around quickly. STATE OF AFFAIRS (9) got home well at Tatura when last seen to grab fourth and should be fitter second up. KILNA (2) is a six-year-old gelding who is having his first run for the Paul Preusker barn. Off a long break so watch the betting for the sharp yard.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Surfy Pete silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Big Rooster carrying 126lbs at $17. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sound Of Jura carrying 130lbs at $12. Should take beating.

1st Pick
10

Surfy Pete

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Linda Meech

T: Paul Preusker

125---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Big Rooster carrying 126lbs at $17. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 in a Bm62 at Swan Hill on September 22 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sound Of Jura carrying 130lbs at $12. Should take beating.

5
Weather Delay silk

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 16 in a Bm64 at Morphettville on September 12 over 1m, 12 len behind Talisay carrying 131lbs at $9.50. The run before that won by 1.75 len in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 18 over 7 ½f defeating Isdell carrying 136lbs at $6. Can give cheek from out wide.

2nd Pick
5

Weather Delay

Jockey: Ryan Hurdle

Trainer: Robert Hickmott

J: Ryan Hurdle

T: Robert Hickmott

115---16%11/2

Analysis

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 16 in a Bm64 at Morphettville on September 12 over 1m, 12 len behind Talisay carrying 131lbs at $9.50. The run before that won by 1.75 len in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 18 over 7 ½f defeating Isdell carrying 136lbs at $6. Can give cheek from out wide.

9
State Of Affairs silk

Second run back. First-up after 16 months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2.5 len behind Mayeki carrying 130lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Hawkesbury on March 18 2025 over 1m, 5 len behind Polymnia with 127lbs at $41. Fitter and should go well.

3rd Pick
9

State Of Affairs

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Lisa Whelan

J: John Allen

T: Lisa Whelan

87---10%10/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after 16 months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Cl1 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 2.5 len behind Mayeki carrying 130lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Hawkesbury on March 18 2025 over 1m, 5 len behind Polymnia with 127lbs at $41. Fitter and should go well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.