AU - Horsham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Quite a good race with a few different angles. SURFY PETE (3) has missed the frame at the last two but both in tougher grade. Was fourth in the Mount Gambier Summer Cup then sixth last time at Ararat in a BM70. Comes back a couple of notches and is overdue to break through. Gets his chance. KHANT BEE (5) is a lightly raced galloper who resumed from a long spell with an eye-catching fourth over a mile at Seymour. Will be far fitter for the run and looks suited by the extra ground. Worth following over a trip this time in. Long time since a win for SHE'S A CON (7) but is going much better than it looks. Raced in open class two back then last start drew an outside gate and was forced back to last before making late ground. Back a grade and drawn better. Can improve sharply. SHE FLYS (8) is one of the few that will be on speed and is going along well. Can give a sight off the low draw. BERTRAND (1) is a promising type stepping up in grade. DUKE OF BEDFORD (4) is a top chaser resuming.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 6th of 10 at Ararat Bm70 on February 8 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Frontline Action with 121lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 11 at Mt Gambier Summer Cup on January 25 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Van Roy with 119lbs at $9.50. Well back in grade on last couple and expected to go close. 1st Pick 3 Surfy Pete Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Teo Nugent T: Paul Preusker	138	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 10 at Ararat Bm70 on February 8 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Frontline Action with 121lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 11 at Mt Gambier Summer Cup on January 25 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Van Roy with 119lbs at $9.50. Well back in grade on last couple and expected to go close.
5	Second run back. First-up after seven months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Seymour Bm56 on February 3 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Il Cielo with 133lbs at $9. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind She Said with 132lbs at $5. Strong return and looks to have good upside. 2nd Pick 5 Khant Bee Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Will Gordon T: Andrew Bobbin	119	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Seymour Bm56 on February 3 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Il Cielo with 133lbs at $9. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind She Said with 132lbs at $5. Strong return and looks to have good upside.
7	Most recently settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on February 10 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Broadhurst with 127lbs at $11. The run before that second last of 10 at Warrnambool Woodford Cup on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 5 len behind Ocean Beyond with 119lbs at $31. Good effort last start after going back from a wide gate. 3rd Pick 7 She's A Con Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Jack Hill T: Paul Preusker	76	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on February 10 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Broadhurst with 127lbs at $11. The run before that second last of 10 at Warrnambool Woodford Cup on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 5 len behind Ocean Beyond with 119lbs at $31. Good effort last start after going back from a wide gate.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

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