AU - Horsham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

EARLY WARNING (3) returned from an eight-week let-up with a respectable fifth over 1m at Stawell last start. Yet to miss the frame in three runs here on his home track and has placed at all four tries over today's trip. Back in grade and finds the ideal race to break a long win drought. SARA'S ROCKET (10) improved sharply last time out at the third run of the campaign, leading for home and digging deep only to find one better in the concluding stages of a similar race to this at Geelong. Rock hard fit and should be prominent for a long way. SO ENCHANTING (8) hasn't been in her comfort zone since the maiden win at Swan Hill three back. Finds a more suitable assignment today so a return to form looks likely. PRO AUSSIE (5) is a consistent gelding, in the money at all three runs this prep. Will enjoy the step up in trip with the in-form Will Gordon to steer. IMMINENT STORM (4) was strong through the line at the end of a mile at Stawell last time so this longer trip looks ideal.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 5th of 8 at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 1m, 4 len behind Super Snitch with 130lbs at $13. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Ararat Bm70 on February 8 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Frontline Action carrying 121lbs at $11. Distance specialist who is back in grade and ready to win. 1st Pick 3 Early Warning Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Dean Yendall T: Paul Preusker	124	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 8 at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 1m, 4 len behind Super Snitch with 130lbs at $13. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Ararat Bm70 on February 8 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Frontline Action carrying 121lbs at $11. Distance specialist who is back in grade and ready to win.
10	Most recently 2nd in a small field at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Before that 7th of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Eleanor Dumont with 131lbs at $12. Cherry ripe and will prove hard to beat this time. 2nd Pick 10 Sara's Rocket Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Jack Hill T: Jamie Edwards	87	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Before that 7th of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Eleanor Dumont with 131lbs at $12. Cherry ripe and will prove hard to beat this time.
8	Last start 5th of 11 at Stawell Bm56 on April 17 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Patsy's Star carrying 132lbs at $4. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm66 on April 6 over 1m, 8 len behind Satirically carrying 123lbs at $31. Better placed this time and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 8 So Enchanting Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: John Allen T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	157	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 at Stawell Bm56 on April 17 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Patsy's Star carrying 132lbs at $4. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm66 on April 6 over 1m, 8 len behind Satirically carrying 123lbs at $31. Better placed this time and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.