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4:55 AM

AU - Horsham - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WHAT A RIPPER (9) ran below expectations last time at Bendigo, finishing tenth and beaten 9 lengths starting at $6.50. That was a stronger race than this and his two runs prior read well. Can bounce back. NORDIC STRIKE (1) started favourite last time out over 5f at Warrnambool but found a couple better, making it five minor placings from seven starts this campaign. Overdue for a win and he is a real danger. BAZZAR (2) resumes from a spell of three months. Has filled a minor placing at each of his three first-up runs and can continue to progress for the Meech/Dabernig combination. MARILYN'S EDGE (6) is racing quite well, a winner two back at Moe then close up at Mildura. Right in the mix again. EDGES DIAMOND (5) can be hitting the line.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
What A Ripper silk

At the latest run sat on the pace before fading to run last of 10 in a Bm62 at Bendigo on October 4 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Zourain carrying 128lbs at $6.50. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 in a Bm62 at Ballarat on September 18 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Ole Royale with 128lbs at $3.80. Can do much better here.

1st Pick
9

What A Ripper

Jockey: Harry Coffey

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Harry Coffey

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

159---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run sat on the pace before fading to run last of 10 in a Bm62 at Bendigo on October 4 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Zourain carrying 128lbs at $6.50. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 in a Bm62 at Ballarat on September 18 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Ole Royale with 128lbs at $3.80. Can do much better here.

1
Nordic Strike silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 7 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on October 1 over 5f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Romantic Miss carrying 132lbs at $3.40. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 5 ¾f, slow going 1.0 len behind Immortal Triumph carrying 132lbs at $4.60. Well placed. Going well enough to challenge.

2nd Pick
1

Nordic Strike

Jockey: Zac Moore

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Zac Moore

T: Ciaron Maher

110---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 7 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on October 1 over 5f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Romantic Miss carrying 132lbs at $3.40. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 5 ¾f, slow going 1.0 len behind Immortal Triumph carrying 132lbs at $4.60. Well placed. Going well enough to challenge.

2
Bazzar silk

Is first-up after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign third of 10 at Warrnambool Bm62 July 23 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Queen Christine carrying 132lbs at $9.50. First up last campaign third of 10 at Ballarat 0 - 62 June 12 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind In And Out with 132lbs at $4.40. Looks all set for a bright return.

3rd Pick
2

Bazzar

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Linda Meech

T: Tom Dabernig

105---23%7/2

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of three months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign third of 10 at Warrnambool Bm62 July 23 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Queen Christine carrying 132lbs at $9.50. First up last campaign third of 10 at Ballarat 0 - 62 June 12 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind In And Out with 132lbs at $4.40. Looks all set for a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.