AU - Horsham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

PUNIC WAR (6) has a tricky gate but won't get a better chance to break through in a moderate maiden. Fourth at Sandown two back then just missed last time when beaten a head after sitting deep throughout. Close to a win and with any luck in the run will go close. CUTTIN' CLASS (16) was well fancied last time on the back of some good runs then ran a poor race last time, dropping right out in the straight. Rates a top chance on previous form and gets a chance to bounce back. DON'T SAY NO MIKKI (3) was fourth here fresh beaten less than a length then finished third at the latest at Ararat. Ready to win and will go back from the wide draw and get home hard. SHAY'S WAY (12) ran a better race second-up and has placed third-up. One of the chances. APADANA (15) is a former NSW galloper having her first run in this area. Best form stacks up and expected to be winding up late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on February 7 over 7 ½f, head behind The Better Husband with 130lbs at $11. The start before that 4th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mystery 'N' Drama with 128lbs at $18. Covered ground and just missed last time but can go one better. 1st Pick 6 Punic War Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Steve Richards J: Eoin Walsh T: Steve Richards	154	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on February 7 over 7 ½f, head behind The Better Husband with 130lbs at $11. The start before that 4th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mystery 'N' Drama with 128lbs at $18. Covered ground and just missed last time but can go one better.
16	Last start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 12 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on February 8 over 6 ½f, 25 len behind Muskito with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee with 128lbs at $5.50. Poor run last time but rates a top chance on previous form. 2nd Pick 16 Cuttin' Class Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	169	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 12 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on February 8 over 6 ½f, 25 len behind Muskito with 121lbs at $4.60. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee with 128lbs at $5.50. Poor run last time but rates a top chance on previous form.
3	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 8 at this track Bm56 on December 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.8 len behind Sunburnt with 133lbs at $9. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on February 8 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Muskito carrying 131lbs at $31. Fitter now and making headway. Tricky gate but will be winding up strongly. 3rd Pick 3 Don't Say No Mikki Jockey: Jason Webb Trainer: Vincent Malady J: Jason Webb T: Vincent Malady	109	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 8 at this track Bm56 on December 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.8 len behind Sunburnt with 133lbs at $9. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on February 8 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Muskito carrying 131lbs at $31. Fitter now and making headway. Tricky gate but will be winding up strongly.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.