AU - Horsham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

INITIAL MOMENT (7) is fitter for two runs back and looks ready to win. Solid fresh then ran an eye-catching second last time over 1 ¼m. This suits and gets her chance to break through. HERE COMES RUBY (6) has been racing in far richer company, the latest when sixth at Cranbourne over 1 ¼m. At her top now and back in grade. Go close. TRIORA (4) ran last fresh then finished ninth last time but the form is far better than it looks. Was tested in city class last time in and won maiden over 1 ?m. Extra trip is a plus, fitter again and will relish this company. One of the few with upside and won't get a better chance to find some form. STAY IN YOUR LANE (11) has been freshened since a disappointing run last time. Better than that and can sneak into the finish. SIDE PIECE (2) is well placed in this line-up and worth following up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up eased back early on 6th of 11 at Werribee Bm56 on January 12 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Sinister Sauce carrying 130lbs at $12. Second run from a spell sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Naracoorte Cl1-Sw on February 8 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Palace Green carrying 126lbs at $4. Went close last time and looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 7 Initial Moment Jockey: Tom Ryan Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Tom Ryan T: Shane Jackson	151	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up eased back early on 6th of 11 at Werribee Bm56 on January 12 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Sinister Sauce carrying 130lbs at $12. Second run from a spell sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Naracoorte Cl1-Sw on February 8 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Palace Green carrying 126lbs at $4. Went close last time and looks hard to beat.
6	Most recently 6th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on January 30 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Powerful Torque with 119lbs at $21. The start before that second last of 8 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on January 17 over 1m, 7 len behind Zaaffair Steal carrying 131lbs at $12. This easier and has strong claims. 2nd Pick 6 Here Comes Ruby Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Will Gordon T: Matt Laurie	105	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 6th of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on January 30 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Powerful Torque with 119lbs at $21. The start before that second last of 8 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on January 17 over 1m, 7 len behind Zaaffair Steal carrying 131lbs at $12. This easier and has strong claims.
4	Third-up today. First-up ran last of 9 at Geelong F&M Bm62 on January 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Legacy Rose with 121lbs at $41. Second run from a spell 9th of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on February 10 over 1m, 6 len behind Broadhurst with 127lbs at $31. Much better than form suggests and is very well placed this line-up. 3rd Pick 4 Triora Jockey: Arron Lynch Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Arron Lynch T: Ciaron Maher	95	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran last of 9 at Geelong F&M Bm62 on January 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Legacy Rose with 121lbs at $41. Second run from a spell 9th of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on February 10 over 1m, 6 len behind Broadhurst with 127lbs at $31. Much better than form suggests and is very well placed this line-up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.