AU - Horsham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

29.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LITTLE ALLY BAMA (10) comes through a hot maiden won by Fringilla who is favourite in a G3 at Caulfield on Saturday. She closed off well for third there despite being beaten six lengths and this looks to suit. COURTING (9) is a clear danger off a couple of minor placings, solid to the line at Ballarat over 1 ¼m last time. Settles in front of the main danger and goes close. UNDER CONTROL (8) struggled at Ballarat last time but had been good prior and can improve. VADAR (4) was huge odds fresh but not terrible at Cranbourne in a decent maiden, he can improve. EMPRESS OF CHINA (6) can sneak into the first four.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 6 len behind Fringilla carrying 121lbs at $20. The race before that 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Asal carrying 121lbs at $8. Through a hot race and this suits. 1st Pick 10 Little Ally Bama Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Linda Meech T: Andrew Bobbin	152	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 6 len behind Fringilla carrying 121lbs at $20. The race before that 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Asal carrying 121lbs at $8. Through a hot race and this suits.
9	Recent form sound. Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Sister's Run with 121lbs at $5.50. Before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 7f, 3 len behind Dolce Carolina with 122lbs at $8.50. Heading the right way and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 9 Courting Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Harry Coffey T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	125	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently came from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Sister's Run with 121lbs at $5.50. Before that came from midfield, 3rd of 11 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 7f, 3 len behind Dolce Carolina with 122lbs at $8.50. Heading the right way and looks hard to beat.
8	Most recently 9th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Sister's Run carrying 127lbs at $21. Before that 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on September 19 over 1 5/16m, 0.5 len behind Precambrian with 127lbs at $4.40. Can do better. 3rd Pick 8 Under Control Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Henry Dwyer J: Neil Farley T: Henry Dwyer	124	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently 9th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Sister's Run carrying 127lbs at $21. Before that 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on September 19 over 1 5/16m, 0.5 len behind Precambrian with 127lbs at $4.40. Can do better.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.