AU - Hamilton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

A huge and open BM56 will wind up the day and the quaddie. LARRYOCTANE (6) has needed racing to get fit, and as soon as he found a good track, he bounced back into form, finishing third at Kilmore nearly 4 weeks ago over 1 ¼m. Both of his career wins have been over this trip, and he can get the job done in this. CHATEAU DANCER (9) is usually hitting the line strongly, and she won't lack fitness after a fair effort for sixth over 1 ½m at Moe last start. The winkers are on for the first time, and with some luck from a wide gate, she can figure in the top 4. SANIKA (8) ran a bottler fresh up when third at Mt Gambier over 7 ¾f, and he is better with more racing. The extra 3 ¼f is ideal, and he can have the last say. COASTAL WHISPERS (13) strips fitter, and is a top 4 hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Dual acceptor. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Makusha carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that 5th of 10 in a Bm56 at Moe on August 13 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Outdrive carrying 132lbs at $17. Can hit the frame with the right run. 1st Pick 6 Larryoctane Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Brad Rawiller T: Luke Oliver	71	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Makusha carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that 5th of 10 in a Bm56 at Moe on August 13 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Outdrive carrying 132lbs at $17. Can hit the frame with the right run.
9	At the latest run settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 24 over 1 ½m, 8 len behind Prince Of Byron carrying 129lbs at $15. The run before that 5th of 11 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 8 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Tactfull carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Well placed so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 9 Chateau Dancer Jockey: Dylan Dunn Trainer: Adrian Mcgregor J: Dylan Dunn T: Adrian Mcgregor	128	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 24 over 1 ½m, 8 len behind Prince Of Byron carrying 129lbs at $15. The run before that 5th of 11 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 8 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Tactfull carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Well placed so worth another chance.
7	Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Just Dance with 129lbs at $6.50. The race before that 8th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 7 len behind Dance Lady with 131lbs at $18. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 7 Phoenician Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ern Ewert J: Non Runner T: Ern Ewert	101	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Just Dance with 129lbs at $6.50. The race before that 8th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, 7 len behind Dance Lady with 131lbs at $18. Will take plenty of beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.