AU - Hamilton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS TRUSTFUL (5) did a good job last start, beaten only 1.5 lengths over 7 ¼f at Kilmore, after positioning forward. She is proven third-up, and the extra metres won't be an issue. Well placed with a 9lbs claim and can win for the premier stable. Stablemate REGAL SURGE (1) closed off strongly last start, beaten 0.6 lengths, over 7f at Terang when coming back from a break. Has the rail and should be handy in the run. Will present fitter and is sure to go close. BANCOORA (3) finished second last start over 7 ¾f at Mt Gambier, beaten 1.5 lengths. Returned to form, and that number stacks up. Has to be considered. HABITEIN (4) resumed at Warrnambool in stronger and needed the outing. He's suited by the step up in trip and maps well. Has been kept on the fresh side and is likely to race well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 14 at Ballarat Bm56 on February 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Grammy's Sunshine carrying 137lbs at $8. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on March 6 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Finance Shogun with 136lbs at $6.50. Looks all set to win. 1st Pick 5 Miss Trustful Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	122	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 14 at Ballarat Bm56 on February 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Grammy's Sunshine carrying 137lbs at $8. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on March 6 over 7 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Finance Shogun with 136lbs at $6.50. Looks all set to win.
1	Second-up. First-up after five months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Eleanor Dumont with 138lbs at $16. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at this track 4Yupmdn-Sw on September 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Shout Me with 131lbs at $5. Fitter and a top contender. 2nd Pick 1 Regal Surge Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Cian Macredmond T: Ciaron Maher	149	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Terang Bm56 on March 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Eleanor Dumont with 138lbs at $16. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at this track 4Yupmdn-Sw on September 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Shout Me with 131lbs at $5. Fitter and a top contender.
3	Last start 2nd of 11 at Mt Gambier Bm56 on March 22 over 7 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Elliotto carrying 136lbs at $6.50. The start before that got back early 6th of 12 at Ararat Bm56 on March 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Superset with 138lbs at $10. Further improvement expected. 3rd Pick 3 Bancoora Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Jack Hill T: Paul Preusker	132	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 2nd of 11 at Mt Gambier Bm56 on March 22 over 7 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Elliotto carrying 136lbs at $6.50. The start before that got back early 6th of 12 at Ararat Bm56 on March 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Superset with 138lbs at $10. Further improvement expected.

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