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4:31 AM

AU - Hamilton - Race 5

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
55.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

An 80K MCC Series Heat will start the quaddie over 1m. NAVY KING (1) was doing his best work late over this trip in a tougher field second up at Sandown-Hillside a month ago, and will have a 4lbs claim to help offset his weight rise for this easier assignment. A wide draw will make it tough, but with the right tow into it around the final bend, he can unleash a quick finish. On top. GEFFINA (6) is normally running on in her races, and she was just over 2 lengths from the winner at Murray Bridge 2 weeks ago. Include in all top 4 combos. BREATHLESS SPIRIT (7) made good progress last season, and has done well over his spell, winning the latest of his 2 tune-up jump-outs. If he does not need the run, then he can figure in the top 3. SHAMEX (14) has been freshened since a last start BM62 win over 1 ¼m. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Navy King silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Celestial Zara with 138lbs at $71. Last start 9th of 13 in a Bm84 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Changing Colours with 125lbs at $101. Nicely placed and is in the mix.

1st Pick
1

Navy King

Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Bailey Kinninmont

T: Symon Wilde

113---9%11/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Celestial Zara with 138lbs at $71. Last start 9th of 13 in a Bm84 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Changing Colours with 125lbs at $101. Nicely placed and is in the mix.

3
Dark Journey silk

Last start ran last of 12 in a Bm84 at Mornington on September 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 15 len behind Veyepee carrying 122lbs at $151. The start before that 11th of 13 in the LR Tontonan (Sofitel) Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 7f, 9 len behind Welcometotheshow with 119lbs at $201. Rates highly and is among the chances.

2nd Pick
3

Dark Journey

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Jason Warren

J: Non Runner

T: Jason Warren

89---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start ran last of 12 in a Bm84 at Mornington on September 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 15 len behind Veyepee carrying 122lbs at $151. The start before that 11th of 13 in the LR Tontonan (Sofitel) Stakes at Flemington on September 12 over 7f, 9 len behind Welcometotheshow with 119lbs at $201. Rates highly and is among the chances.

6
Geffina silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 0.5 len in a F&M Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Castellito with 130lbs at $11. Last start settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 in a Bm74 at Murray Bridge on September 26 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Freedom Flame carrying 130lbs at $16. Well placed. Hard to beat on her best form.

3rd Pick
6

Geffina

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Aaron Purcell

J: Linda Meech

T: Aaron Purcell

179---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 0.5 len in a F&M Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Castellito with 130lbs at $11. Last start settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 in a Bm74 at Murray Bridge on September 26 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Freedom Flame carrying 130lbs at $16. Well placed. Hard to beat on her best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.