AU - Hamilton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

22.3K

VIEW

Verdict

More value to be found in another open maiden. MOVING POINT (12) has all the form on the board in tougher maiden fields than this, but he has to overcome a wide draw third up. With any luck in the running, he is the one to beat. COOL AZA BREEZE (6) failed to cope with a heavy track last time out at Warrnambool, and she will don the blinkers for the first time here. The extra 1f should help, and she can take this out. PATH TO VICTORY (3) ran some sound races last season, and he will be a lot stronger this time in work. He has had a recent jump-out, and with the aid of the pole position, he will be ready to run a big race fresh. Watch for him late. HIS LADY BAY (8) has yet to out is all together, and is lacking a bit of strength, Dropping back from 1 ¹/16m to 7f will do her no harm, and she is another with top 4 claims at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Third race start today. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on September 13 over 6f, head behind Getsmybloodrussian carrying 126lbs at $18. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on September 25 over 6f, 5 len behind Ranarsson carrying 128lbs at $18. Racing well. Rates highly looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 12 Moving Point Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Jake Noonan T: Matt Laurie	192	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Third race start today. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on September 13 over 6f, head behind Getsmybloodrussian carrying 126lbs at $18. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on September 25 over 6f, 5 len behind Ranarsson carrying 128lbs at $18. Racing well. Rates highly looks hard to beat.
6	Last start 5th of 8 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pastoral King with 123lbs at $7. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 14 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Extreme Turbo carrying 128lbs at $14. Looks hard to beat in this line up. 2nd Pick 6 Cool Aza Breeze Jockey: Carleen Hefel Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Carleen Hefel T: Ciaron Maher	102	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 8 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pastoral King with 123lbs at $7. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 14 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Extreme Turbo carrying 128lbs at $14. Looks hard to beat in this line up.
3	Resuming after a four months break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Casterton Mdn-Sw June 7 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Sadlers Symphony carrying 131lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 9 at Stawell 3yo Mdn-Sw April 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sistine Express carrying 128lbs at $21. Will be ready to rumble fresh up. 3rd Pick 3 Path To Victory Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Neil Farley T: Andrew Bobbin	63	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Resuming after a four months break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Casterton Mdn-Sw June 7 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Sadlers Symphony carrying 131lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 9 at Stawell 3yo Mdn-Sw April 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sistine Express carrying 128lbs at $21. Will be ready to rumble fresh up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.