AU - Geelong - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Siding with SOMERSAULT (4) in the last for the Begg yard. She was a smart maiden winner at this track first up, perhaps not handling the synthetic surface at Ballarat last time when right in the market. Back onto turf here, she'll bounce out and roll forward and should take catching from there. XTRAMAGIC (8) was a handy winner two back at Bendigo in easier, good again last time at Murray Bridge in this grade. She'll take holding out again. ANIA (1) is racing in fine form this time in, getting home strongly at big odds at Sale last start for second. Comes back a notch now and looks nicely placed. PARIS WINDS (3) struggled fresh in Adelaide but is better than that having won well her only start the campaign prior, look for improvement. HUSTLE (2) resumes having gone to the paddock a winner, consider.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw June 19 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Eton Affair carrying 123lbs at $3.10. Last start ran second last in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic Cl1 on July 2 over 6f, 8 len behind Tommyess carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone. 1st Pick 4 Somersault Jockey: Olivia East Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Olivia East T: Grahame Begg	161	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw June 19 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Eton Affair carrying 123lbs at $3.10. Last start ran second last in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic Cl1 on July 2 over 6f, 8 len behind Tommyess carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone.
8	Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.6 len behind Steel Tsunami carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 1.75 len at Bendigo 0 - 56 June 13 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Symphonite with 127lbs at $5.50. Going well and will take holding out. 2nd Pick 8 Xtramagic Jockey: Shayleigh Ingelse Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Shayleigh Ingelse T: Paul Preusker	130	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.6 len behind Steel Tsunami carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 1.75 len at Bendigo 0 - 56 June 13 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Symphonite with 127lbs at $5.50. Going well and will take holding out.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Sale Bm62 on July 9 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Mongolian City carrying 123lbs at $21. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Moe F&M Bm62 on June 18 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Unapproachable carrying 131lbs at $14. Consistent and should take beating again. 3rd Pick 1 Ania Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Caitlin Hollowood T: Julius Sandhu	107	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Sale Bm62 on July 9 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Mongolian City carrying 123lbs at $21. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Moe F&M Bm62 on June 18 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Unapproachable carrying 131lbs at $14. Consistent and should take beating again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.