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6:30 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 9

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
25.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BRUTALINA (1) narrowly on top in a tough finish. She won narrowly over this track and distance (and in this grade) two starts back as favourite in a good effort before battling on heavy ground at Pakenham last time in a bunched finish. A soft track should be fine if we get into that and she can bounce back. ZORRO'S FLIGHT (4) resumes. He didn't fire last time in but is better than that with strong 3yo form over a touch further. Look for a much better run. RUSSIAN DUCHESS (11) resumes. She's a lightly raced filly who has shown ability and can sprint well fresh. GODTFRED KIRK (5) ran a good race first up at Pakenham to grab second with improvement to come. Up in trip suits and he'll be charging late from a sticky gate. BREAK THE TABOO (13) worked home well into third when last seen at Seymour and won't need to improve much to be winning here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Brutalina silk

Last start 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Camp Cable carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that won by a long-neck at this track Bm62 April 22 over 6f defeating Dantooine with 127lbs at $2.50. Encouraging effort last start. Best form reads well.

1st Pick
1

Brutalina

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Non Runner

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

179---1%1000/1

Analysis

Last start 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Camp Cable carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Before that won by a long-neck at this track Bm62 April 22 over 6f defeating Dantooine with 127lbs at $2.50. Encouraging effort last start. Best form reads well.

4
Zorro's Flight silk

Is first-up after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at this track Bm66 January 26 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Asakura with 130lbs at $9.50. When resuming last campaign sixth of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Gundaroo with 131lbs at $7. Can do much better this time in.

2nd Pick
4

Zorro's Flight

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Jake Noonan

T: Patrick Payne

174---12%8/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at this track Bm66 January 26 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Asakura with 130lbs at $9.50. When resuming last campaign sixth of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Gundaroo with 131lbs at $7. Can do much better this time in.

11
Russian Duchess silk

Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm66 March 11 over 1m, 5 len behind Roulette King with 123lbs at $10. On debut fifth of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw December 7 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Rodriquez with 123lbs at $26. Can run a bold race fresh.

3rd Pick
11

Russian Duchess

Jockey: Jabez Johnstone

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Jabez Johnstone

T: Ciaron Maher

84---19%9/2

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm66 March 11 over 1m, 5 len behind Roulette King with 123lbs at $10. On debut fifth of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw December 7 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Rodriquez with 123lbs at $26. Can run a bold race fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.