AU - Geelong - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

24.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky. NATIONAL CODE (5) has found one better in her past three but a win looks close. She made a wide, sustained run from a hopeless spot at Swan Hill last time and ran very well. Two runs prior read well for this and with even luck she can go one better. Not sure what to do with FLY BY LIGHT (1) who was poor first up at Caulfield behind a speedy winner. Since been given a let up, he's better than that with the betting all important. I STAND BY YOU (2) resumes. He was a surprise winner fresh last campaign, then tackling the Future Stars Final at Pakenham when eighth. He should run well. VILNIUS (4) has been okay in two runs back and should be at peak fitness now, consider. ANIA (6) is racing well and drawn to effect, each way hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Swan Hill on July 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Sunday Fun Day with 131lbs at $2.60. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Bendigo on July 5 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Iced Poppy carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Hard to hold out. 1st Pick 5 National Code Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	140	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Swan Hill on July 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Sunday Fun Day with 131lbs at $2.60. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Bendigo on July 5 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Iced Poppy carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Hard to hold out.
1	Second run back. Comes off a 48-day let-up. First-up after four months 11th of 14 at Caulfield on June 27 over 5f, on a slow track, 9 len behind I'm Foxing with 115lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Arlington Row carrying 132lbs at $2.50. Can do much better. 2nd Pick 1 Fly By Light Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ben Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	132	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 48-day let-up. First-up after four months 11th of 14 at Caulfield on June 27 over 5f, on a slow track, 9 len behind I'm Foxing with 115lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Arlington Row carrying 132lbs at $2.50. Can do much better.
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Pakenham Cl3 February 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Plunger carrying 126lbs at $12. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.8 len Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f defeating Sparkling Luck carrying 128lbs at $26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Has ability, go close. 3rd Pick 2 I Stand By You Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes J: Luke Currie T: M, W & J Hawkes	127	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Pakenham Cl3 February 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Plunger carrying 126lbs at $12. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.8 len Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f defeating Sparkling Luck carrying 128lbs at $26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Has ability, go close.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.