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7:30 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
24.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Good race but BELLA VERONA (2) looks the clear one to beat again. She promised plenty in her maiden campaign with an arrogant win on debut then was a moral beaten in town. She resumed with a soft win at Bendigo and looks set to go on with it. LYRICS 'N' SONG (5) didn't handle the very heavy going fresh then bounced back with a good win at Seymour over a handy one. Like her to this trip now, she'll give a sight again. CHARMING DEEL (6) is coming off a good win when last seen here over 1 ¹/16m and has been given a let-up since. Back in trip the niggle but she can box on late. DIAMOND EYE (7) has won two on the bounce but is another off a let-up. She's progressing nicely and has claims again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Bella Verona silk

Second-up. First-up after four months favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Bendigo on September 20 over 6 ½f defeating Endless Summer carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 3yo F Hcp at Caulfield on May 9 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Jewel Of Heaven carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Talented mare who can go on with it.

1st Pick
2

Bella Verona

Jockey: Patrick Moloney

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Patrick Moloney

T: Matt Laurie

168---39%13/8

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Bendigo on September 20 over 6 ½f defeating Endless Summer carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 3yo F Hcp at Caulfield on May 9 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Jewel Of Heaven carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Talented mare who can go on with it.

5
Lyrics 'n' Song silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran last in a small field in a Cl1 at this track on August 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 11 len behind Prevention with 130lbs at $1.55. Second run from a spell won by 0.8 len in a Bm62 at Seymour on September 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Plunger carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Sets up well again here, go close.

2nd Pick
5

Lyrics 'n' Song

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Mark Walker

J: Jackson Radley

T: Mark Walker

123---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran last in a small field in a Cl1 at this track on August 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 11 len behind Prevention with 130lbs at $1.55. Second run from a spell won by 0.8 len in a Bm62 at Seymour on September 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Plunger carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Sets up well again here, go close.

6
Charming Deel silk

Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation won by 0.5 len this track Bm62 July 31 over 1 ¹/16m slow track defeating Omnic carrying 130lbs at $2.50. When resuming last campaign second of 16 at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 May 7 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Geffina with 127lbs at $17. Everything points to a effective return.

3rd Pick
6

Charming Deel

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Linda Meech

T: Tom Dabernig

122---16%11/2

Analysis

Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation won by 0.5 len this track Bm62 July 31 over 1 ¹/16m slow track defeating Omnic carrying 130lbs at $2.50. When resuming last campaign second of 16 at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 May 7 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Geffina with 127lbs at $17. Everything points to a effective return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.