AU - Geelong - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

86.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

NDOLA (1) has settled too far back at his last two starts, both in stronger company. He was narrowly beaten at Caulfield this grade/trip before those. Maps for a softer run today, and with Radley's 7lbs claim, he looks a top chance. HARRY'S YACHT (5) peaks on a 7-day return. Resumed with an easy win over the shorter and has threatened the two since at 6f. Has compelling figures over today's distance, and Jamie Melham is engaged. Will go close with average luck in running. STYLISH (8) is a stablemate to the top selection and also has decent claims. Resumed this trip at Caulfield and did a big job, beaten 1L. Missed by a similar margin this grade/trip at Ballarat following. Both of those efforts stack right up, and he jumps from a low barrier on the fresh side. CODIGO (9) brings strong numbers over short sprints. Tries 7f for just the second time and is fit enough to give it a decent crack. MODOWN (3) has Ethan Brown and the rails gate and will be fitter. A player finding his best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Dual acceptor. At the latest run 7th of 11 at Pakenham Vgold Bullion on December 13 over 7f, 3 len behind Persian Spirit with 119lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington Bm90 on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Has the ability and is worth another chance. 1st Pick 1 Ndola Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	154	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. At the latest run 7th of 11 at Pakenham Vgold Bullion on December 13 over 7f, 3 len behind Persian Spirit with 119lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington Bm90 on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Has the ability and is worth another chance.
5	Recent form sound. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Vg Carat on December 27 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Steel Move with 130lbs at $2. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Vg Stockade on December 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Steel Move with 130lbs at $1.95. Brings the right form and is one of the best hopes. 2nd Pick 5 Harry's Yacht Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Jamie Melham T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	144	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Vg Carat on December 27 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Steel Move with 130lbs at $2. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Vg Stockade on December 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Steel Move with 130lbs at $1.95. Brings the right form and is one of the best hopes.
8	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 13 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 15 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Taken with 127lbs at $10. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Bm84 on December 6 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Waimarie carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Well placed. Winning hope. 3rd Pick 8 Stylish Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	149	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 13 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 15 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Taken with 127lbs at $10. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Bm84 on December 6 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Waimarie carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Well placed. Winning hope.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.