AU - Geelong - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

24.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Heat of the Rising Stars Series for apprentices, which means the 7lbs claim for Shayleigh Ingelse aboard ELEANOR DUMONT (1) might hold extra weight, so to speak. Been in great form this prep, draws well and is a Heavy track winner. ARIZONA LUCK (11) has been out of the placings in two runs since a break, the latest when fourth, beaten 1.75 lengths, over 6f at Swan Hill. Should be ready to go now. NEVRA QUEEN (15) trotted home by six lengths last start, which was the only time she's seen a Heavy track so if we strike those conditions again she has to be included. QUEENSBURY (2) turned in a nice effort last time out at the second run of the campaign and finished just 1.75 lengths from the winner in second over 7f at Pakenham. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. JAMESJOHNO (3) will be better for the first-up run and has the advantage of Luke Cartwright, Victoria's leading metro apprentice.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 43 day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 7 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Astradeel with 128lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, won by 3.5 len at Terang Bm66 April 12 over 1m in heavy going defeating Jenny The Beaver carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Definite winning chance. Racing well and 7lbs claim looks extra-advantageous in apprentices-only race. 1st Pick 1 Eleanor Dumont Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Sam Kennedy T: Patrick Payne	121	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 43 day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 7 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Astradeel with 128lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, won by 3.5 len at Terang Bm66 April 12 over 1m in heavy going defeating Jenny The Beaver carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Definite winning chance. Racing well and 7lbs claim looks extra-advantageous in apprentices-only race.
11	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 5f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Charmed Run carrying 122lbs at $21. Second-up 4th of 12 at Swan Hill 3yo Bm64 on June 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Cruiserweight carrying 125lbs at $10. Racing well. Has the ability and is among the leading chances. 2nd Pick 11 Arizona Luck Jockey: Holly Durnan Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Holly Durnan T: Symon Wilde	128	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 5f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Charmed Run carrying 122lbs at $21. Second-up 4th of 12 at Swan Hill 3yo Bm64 on June 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Cruiserweight carrying 125lbs at $10. Racing well. Has the ability and is among the leading chances.
15	Form hard to fault. Last start won by 6 len at Hamilton Bm56 May 26 over 1m in the wet defeating Spanish Snitzel carrying 116lbs at $6.50. The start before that 4th of 14 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on May 22 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Supreme Thunder with 127lbs at $31. Big chance again. 3rd Pick 15 Nevra Queen Jockey: Chelsea Thompson Trainer: Cameron Thompson J: Chelsea Thompson T: Cameron Thompson	98	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start won by 6 len at Hamilton Bm56 May 26 over 1m in the wet defeating Spanish Snitzel carrying 116lbs at $6.50. The start before that 4th of 14 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on May 22 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Supreme Thunder with 127lbs at $31. Big chance again.

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