AU - Geelong - Race 3

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

23.0K

VIEW

Verdict

CARRIEDO (12) looks to have found the ideal race for this stage of the campaign. Beaten just under a length first up then went even closer last time out. Should be at peak fitness now, the extra trip is no issue and gets in well after the claim. BOOMEROO (10) resumes after two adequate runs in the debut campaign and draws perfectly for the return, which follows some handy jumpouts. THE DEFENDER (2) is a long-time maiden but has run well in races with more depth than this, so he needs to be in calculations, especially from the plum draw. IRELAND'S TEARS (5) is on debut and has been prepping up nicely for a cagey stable, so the market needs to be monitored closely especially from the good draw. ROMUALD (1) is yet to place in seven starts, but the best run of the career came first up and there could be further improvement to come here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on February 10 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Succaforyou with 126lbs at $3.60. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 6f, head behind Juvenal carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Rates highly. Gone close at two runs this prep and this shapes as a suitable progression. 1st Pick 12 Carriedo Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Emily Pozman T: Grahame Begg	265	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Kyneton 3yo F Mdn-Sw on February 10 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Succaforyou with 126lbs at $3.60. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 6f, head behind Juvenal carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Rates highly. Gone close at two runs this prep and this shapes as a suitable progression.
10	Resuming after a 12 weeks break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 13 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw December 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Dihheri carrying 126lbs at $18. On debut fourth of 9 at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw November 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Venetian Choice with 126lbs at $3.80. Will be better for the debut prep and latest jumpout was highly encouraging. 2nd Pick 10 Boomeroo Jockey: Liam Riordan Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Liam Riordan T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	61	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Resuming after a 12 weeks break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 13 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw December 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Dihheri carrying 126lbs at $18. On debut fourth of 9 at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw November 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Venetian Choice with 126lbs at $3.80. Will be better for the debut prep and latest jumpout was highly encouraging.
2	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Vim Vitae with 131lbs at $31. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Lil Orlov with 131lbs at $11. Had a heap of chances, but also rarely runs poorly, so much come under consideration. 3rd Pick 2 The Defender Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Mark & Levi Kavanagh J: Brad Rawiller T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh	182	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Vim Vitae with 131lbs at $31. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Lil Orlov with 131lbs at $11. Had a heap of chances, but also rarely runs poorly, so much come under consideration.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.