AU - Geelong - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

PRESTIGE MADDY (9) has gone around big prices in the two runs this time in but was a marked improver last time out when narrowly beaten by a horse who looks capable of racing through the grades. If she's taken any improvement from that she could be the testing material here. JUSTIBELLA (4) was beaten 4.5 lengths first-up, but that was in a race won by Concord Connie, who won by 6.5 lengths at Flemington last Saturday. That's a good formline for this. POLAR EYES (7) will be better for the debut run, when she raced handy and boxed on OK to be beaten less than 2 lengths. LOVE RUSTLER (5) is a newcomer to Victoria and has jumped out well for Taige Weir, who has made a great start to her training career. PRAGUE PRIDE (8) was unplaced on debut, but wasn't beaten far and was given a quiet time of things in the trial since. Any market warrants respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 10 at Avoca Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Life After Love with 126lbs at $31. Last start 2nd of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Col Klink carrying 120lbs at $41. This looks the ideal assignment. 1st Pick 9 Prestige Maddy Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Matt Jenkins J: Ryan Houston T: Matt Jenkins	204	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 10 at Avoca Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Life After Love with 126lbs at $31. Last start 2nd of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Col Klink carrying 120lbs at $41. This looks the ideal assignment.
4	Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Concord Connie with 126lbs at $51. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Chergui with 123lbs at $8. Fitter for the run behind a smart one last start and rates highly. 2nd Pick 4 Justibella Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Teo Nugent T: Ciaron Maher	125	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Concord Connie with 126lbs at $51. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Chergui with 123lbs at $8. Fitter for the run behind a smart one last start and rates highly.
7	At debut, 4th of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Longreach Drover with 123lbs at $10. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Expected to go well with that run under her belt. 3rd Pick 7 Polar Eyes Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Thomas Stockdale T: Phillip Stokes	107	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At debut, 4th of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Longreach Drover with 123lbs at $10. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Expected to go well with that run under her belt.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.