AU - Geelong - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

7.7f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

NO NO NO NO NO (4) was heavily-supported when a $1.50 fav last start at Werribee and while seemingly having his chance, he wasn't beaten far. That was an improved effort on the debut and with that further experience, he gets the chance to go one better here, especially with the blinkers going on. Another wearing blinkers for the first time is FALSTAFFIAN (2), who didn't do a great deal to inspire confidence in three runs in the debut prep but has put together two impressive jumpouts of late. He's gone forward in each, so he might give a sight on-speed. HYDROTHERMAL (8) started fav on debut and while beaten 3.3 lengths, it was by a horse who ran 4th in a G1 in Adelaide last Saturday, so it might be a handy maiden. Fitter now, extra trip suits and gets Linda Meech. Bit of a gap to the rest, the best of whom might be THE MAILER (5), who should be ready to fire after three runs back and REEL RAIDER (6) who can improve out in trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Miss Ellaneous with 128lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Galant Knight carrying 130lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers on and great chance to atone for last start. 1st Pick 4 No No No No No Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Jamie Mott T: Lindsey Smith	202	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Miss Ellaneous with 128lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Galant Knight carrying 130lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers on and great chance to atone for last start.
2	Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Not seen since he finished last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw November 12 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Sketch with 128lbs at $5. On debut fifth of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Obucci carrying 128lbs at $21. Didn't do a lot in the debut prep, but last two jumpouts have been good enough for a race like this. 2nd Pick 2 Falstaffian Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Jordan Childs T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	137	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Not seen since he finished last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw November 12 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Sketch with 128lbs at $5. On debut fifth of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Obucci carrying 128lbs at $21. Didn't do a lot in the debut prep, but last two jumpouts have been good enough for a race like this.
8	Was well-supported at debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Aragog carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Can only be better for the handy debut in a nice maiden and draws to advantage. 3rd Pick 8 Hydrothermal Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Linda Meech T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	167	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Aragog carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Can only be better for the handy debut in a nice maiden and draws to advantage.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.