AU - Geelong - Race 2

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

86.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

NAVY HEART (12) relished the step-up to this trip, winning a 66 here in good style. Stepping up a level this time, but she maps to advantage and looks capable of testing her rivals. LEONCHROI (9) will be the testing material, building on his placing at Pakenham in a 78. Bates handy 4lbs claim offsets some of the weight increase, and he should enjoy a cosy run. HOT TOO GO (3) went close in the Navy Heart race, and that stacks up. He will be positioned on the pace and get every chance. WITTELSBACH (13) has been switched from Sydney by the Archibald yard and will find this more suitable than a 78 at Randwick. Has an outside gate but has Jamie Melham aboard and look for her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track Bm66 December 12 over 1 ½m defeating Amleto with 125lbs at $5. The run before that 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Bm66 on November 23 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Winston with 125lbs at $4.20. Back in form and is expected to go close. 1st Pick 12 Navy Heart Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Harry Coffey T: Ciaron Maher	139	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track Bm66 December 12 over 1 ½m defeating Amleto with 125lbs at $5. The run before that 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Bm66 on November 23 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Winston with 125lbs at $4.20. Back in form and is expected to go close.
9	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Pakenham Bm78 on December 13 over 1/16m, slow going 2 len behind Shockletz with 115lbs at $3.70. The race before that came from midfield, 2nd of 13 at this track Bm62 on November 26 over 1 ½m, nose behind Eagle Angel with 132lbs at $3.10. Decent claims. 2nd Pick 9 Leonchroi Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Logan Bates T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	118	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Pakenham Bm78 on December 13 over 1/16m, slow going 2 len behind Shockletz with 115lbs at $3.70. The race before that came from midfield, 2nd of 13 at this track Bm62 on November 26 over 1 ½m, nose behind Eagle Angel with 132lbs at $3.10. Decent claims.
3	Last start 3rd of 12 at this track Bm66 on December 12 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Navy Heart carrying 133lbs at $5. The run before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 13 at Cranbourne Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 7 len behind Black Peppermint carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Went close last time. Tough to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Hot Too Go Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Jordan Childs T: Danny O'brien	152	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start 3rd of 12 at this track Bm66 on December 12 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Navy Heart carrying 133lbs at $5. The run before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 13 at Cranbourne Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 7 len behind Black Peppermint carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Went close last time. Tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).