AU - Geelong - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

11.3f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

COLD SHOWER (2) was sent out at a big price on debut at Ballarat but ran very well for third, beaten four lengths. Finds a very winnable race second time out and should prove very hard to run down with natural improvement. AL JADITH (1) made nice improvement second time out stepping to 1m at Kilmore when fifth. By Ghaiyyath, he should stay the trip well and take holding out. LOCKED IN (4) hasn't done much in two runs but looks another suited up in trip out of a much stronger race at Seymour where there's already been Listed form out of it. GRADIVUS (3) was better second up and has minor claims from WINTER ARC (8).

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Was at long odds at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 18 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Only Opera carrying 126lbs at $41. Improver who can go on with it. 1st Pick 2 Cold Shower Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Jett Stanley T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	139	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Was at long odds at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 18 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Only Opera carrying 126lbs at $41. Improver who can go on with it.
1	Raced twice to date. At debut, ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 28 over 6 ¾f, slow going 7 len behind Hydrothermal with 126lbs at $21. Second-up 5th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Earthly Crown with 126lbs at $5. Has plenty of upside and can improve sharply. 2nd Pick 1 Al Jadith Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Billy Egan T: Danny O'brien	102	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 28 over 6 ¾f, slow going 7 len behind Hydrothermal with 126lbs at $21. Second-up 5th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Kilmore on September 13 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Earthly Crown with 126lbs at $5. Has plenty of upside and can improve sharply.
4	Third race start. First start ran second last of 10 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on June 28 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Commit with 128lbs at $18. Returned from break ran last of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on September 10 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Skua with 126lbs at $26. Fitter through a good race, can figure. 3rd Pick 4 Locked In Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Ken & Kasey Keys J: Craig Newitt T: Ken & Kasey Keys	80	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third race start. First start ran second last of 10 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on June 28 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Commit with 128lbs at $18. Returned from break ran last of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on September 10 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Skua with 126lbs at $26. Fitter through a good race, can figure.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.