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6:24 AM

AU - Dunkeld - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MONSUN'S PRIDE (3) has the most attractive recent profile after leading and fighting on strongly when second to Mahmudah at Kilmore, beaten just under a length on soft ground. His previous fourth had merit after late interference and this looks to set up nicely from the low gate. PALTINIAN (4) brings a strong class angle, coming back from an Open at Wycheproof where he was third despite being steadied and held up late, with two placings from three tries around 1 ?m supporting the setup. TASSADAR (5) has to rebound from a plain last at Mornington, but that was metro company and he had been beaten only a neck by Cable De Vega at Moe the run prior, the quick back-up and first-time blinkers keep him right in calculations. DUSTY'S DEEL (13) was beaten just over a length by Dubai Legend in a BM52 at Wycheproof as a well-supported favourite, respecting that market confidence. MANNERHEIM (2) mixes form but was solid at Avoca and has claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Monsun's Pride silk

Fought on strongly when second at Kilmore last start, beaten just under a length by Mahmudah after leading into the straight on soft ground. His previous fourth at the same venue was better than the margin after he was hampered and had trouble getting clear late. Leading chance from an ideal gate.

1st Pick
3

Monsun's Pride

Jockey: Mitchell Aitken

Trainer: Chris Calthorpe

J: Mitchell Aitken

T: Chris Calthorpe

104---12%15/2

Analysis

Fought on strongly when second at Kilmore last start, beaten just under a length by Mahmudah after leading into the straight on soft ground. His previous fourth at the same venue was better than the margin after he was hampered and had trouble getting clear late. Leading chance from an ideal gate.

4
Paltinian silk

Drops out of an Open at Wycheproof where he was third, beaten four lengths, and had excuses after being steadied early and held up near the ½f. He had been beaten just over a length at Bendigo two back after leading into the final stages. Strong chance back to this BM56.

2nd Pick
4

Paltinian

Jockey: Ryan Hurdle

Trainer: Andrew Bobbin

J: Ryan Hurdle

T: Andrew Bobbin

92---8%13/1

Analysis

Drops out of an Open at Wycheproof where he was third, beaten four lengths, and had excuses after being steadied early and held up near the ½f. He had been beaten just over a length at Bendigo two back after leading into the final stages. Strong chance back to this BM56.

5
Tassadar silk

Eases back from metro company after finishing last at Mornington four days ago, beaten eight and a half lengths by Nicoffhome, and first-time blinkers are applied. The stronger pointer is his Moe second two runs back, where he travelled well and was beaten a neck by Cable De Vega. Quick back-up and blinkers keep him in play.

3rd Pick
5

Tassadar

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Aaron Laing

J: Linda Meech

T: Aaron Laing

112---8%12/1

Analysis

Eases back from metro company after finishing last at Mornington four days ago, beaten eight and a half lengths by Nicoffhome, and first-time blinkers are applied. The stronger pointer is his Moe second two runs back, where he travelled well and was beaten a neck by Cable De Vega. Quick back-up and blinkers keep him in play.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.