AU - Dunkeld - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

41.1K

VIEW

Verdict

STAY HUMBLE (7) on top in the iconic Dunkeld Cup. He brings the most reliable recent profile, with a BM62 win over Sarapo followed by a third at Geelong in BM70 grade when beaten half a length as favourite. He drops right down in the weights here and will be hard to run down. FOUJITA SAN (2) is the major threat after running second in Saturday BM80 company at Caulfield, beaten a length by In'Kantosstar at big odds. He now finds easier company, has sound 1 ?m credentials and should be ready third-up. OVERPRICED (10) is the in-form improver, coming off BM66 and BM62 wins at Sale and Warrnambool, both by half a length, with Sheridan Clarke staying aboard and an improving profile. DUBAI WATCH (8) has to rebound from a Cup Day failure, but the wide run gives some excuse and his previous BM70 win at Geelong, where he did beat Stay Humble, keeps him in the winning mix. NAVY KING (6) was better up to a mile last time and can improve again, not discounting.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Has held his form very well, winning a BM62 at Geelong from Sarapo before a close BM70 third there when beaten half a length by Dubai Watch as favourite. He did some work wide last start and still fought it out, which adds merit to the performance. Consistent and will roll forward to take plenty of catching. 1st Pick 7 Stay Humble Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Cian Macredmond T: Ciaron Maher	102	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Has held his form very well, winning a BM62 at Geelong from Sarapo before a close BM70 third there when beaten half a length by Dubai Watch as favourite. He did some work wide last start and still fought it out, which adds merit to the performance. Consistent and will roll forward to take plenty of catching.
2	Returns off a five-week let-up after a much better second in Saturday BM80 company at Caulfield, beaten a length by In'Kantosstar despite being at long odds. That was a clear lift from his Mornington BM84 run, where he was slow away and never a winning factor. Easier company and 1m form make him a major player. 2nd Pick 2 Foujita San Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Tom Madden T: Shane Jackson	163	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Returns off a five-week let-up after a much better second in Saturday BM80 company at Caulfield, beaten a length by In'Kantosstar despite being at long odds. That was a clear lift from his Mornington BM84 run, where he was slow away and never a winning factor. Easier company and 1m form make him a major player.
10	Arrives in winning form after leading and holding off Mount Sabyinyo by half a length in a Sale BM66, following a similar Warrnambool BM62 victory on heavy ground. He has put together three wins and three placings from nine starts overall and is particularly effective on wet tracks. Sheridan Clarke sticks and the winning form is hard to knock. 3rd Pick 10 Overpriced Jockey: Sheridan Clarke Trainer: Dean Binaisse J: Sheridan Clarke T: Dean Binaisse	88	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Arrives in winning form after leading and holding off Mount Sabyinyo by half a length in a Sale BM66, following a similar Warrnambool BM62 victory on heavy ground. He has put together three wins and three placings from nine starts overall and is particularly effective on wet tracks. Sheridan Clarke sticks and the winning form is hard to knock.

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Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

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A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.