AU - Dunkeld - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ICED POPPY (3) has the right blend of current form and proven partnership to be the horse to beat. She was beaten half a length at Cranbourne after travelling well and fighting on, and that followed a second in a FM BM70 at Pakenham Synthetic, so her consistency stands out. Lachlan King has won three from nine on her and sets up for every hope. BAZZAR (2) is the main danger after resuming with a BM62 win at Horsham as favourite, driving late to beat Caribbean Villa, and his distance record is strong enough to offset the rise in grade. TENNESSEE SONG (8) resumes from a five-month break with three trials behind her and has stronger mid-week and BM70 form than a plain heavy-track sixth at Sandown-Lakeside suggests. SYNCHRO (1) drops back from Saturday BM70 company, was held up near the 1f when beaten two lengths at Morphettville, and the apprentice claim gives him a sound place platform despite the 11f query.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Comes through a narrow Cranbourne third in BM62 grade, beaten half a length after travelling smoothly behind the leaders and fighting hard to the line. Two back she was second in a FM BM70 at Pakenham Synthetic, so the recent form has depth as well as consistency. Consistent and sets up well here. 1st Pick 3 Iced Poppy Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Lachlan King T: Ben Brisbourne	132	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Comes through a narrow Cranbourne third in BM62 grade, beaten half a length after travelling smoothly behind the leaders and fighting hard to the line. Two back she was second in a FM BM70 at Pakenham Synthetic, so the recent form has depth as well as consistency. Consistent and sets up well here.
2	Resumed with a well-earned BM62 win at Horsham, sent out favourite and driving late to beat Caribbean Villa by a neck. He had also placed in BM62 grade at Warrnambool before the break, albeit beaten nine and a half lengths on heavy ground. Rises from BM62 grade, but can go on with it. 2nd Pick 2 Bazzar Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Bailey Kinninmont T: Tom Dabernig	162	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resumed with a well-earned BM62 win at Horsham, sent out favourite and driving late to beat Caribbean Villa by a neck. He had also placed in BM62 grade at Warrnambool before the break, albeit beaten nine and a half lengths on heavy ground. Rises from BM62 grade, but can go on with it.
8	Resumes after a five-month break with three trials behind her, including a recent third at Mortlake. She ended last campaign with a heavy-track sixth at Sandown-Lakeside, beaten over 14 lengths in F BM64 grade, but her previous Sandown-Hillside fourth in F BM70 company was much better, beaten just under two lengths. Can run well fresh. 3rd Pick 8 Tennessee Song Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Linda Meech T: Tom Dabernig	128	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resumes after a five-month break with three trials behind her, including a recent third at Mortlake. She ended last campaign with a heavy-track sixth at Sandown-Lakeside, beaten over 14 lengths in F BM64 grade, but her previous Sandown-Hillside fourth in F BM70 company was much better, beaten just under two lengths. Can run well fresh.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.