AU - Dunkeld - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ABBY'S CROSSWORD (5) has the right blend of recent form and race set-up after a solid second at Mortlake on soft ground, where she covered ground and still made inroads to be beaten two and a half lengths. Her Avoca maiden win before the break was decisive, this looks a nice option. PONTE ARCOBALENO (4) brings the most consistent recent profile, following a BM52 win at Manangatang with a sound second to Balgowan at Yarra Valley, and his distance record keeps him right in the argument. FLUX (14) is harder to trust after being rolled as odds-on favourite in a picnic BM50 at Wentworth, but the St Arnaud second was strong and the weight relief helps. ILIAD (10) resumes with two trials behind her, has three wins around this trip and is capable of running well fresh if ready off the six-month break.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Returned with a strong second at Mortlake, covering ground and still making inroads to be beaten two and a half lengths by Becauseyou'Re Mine on soft ground. She had ended the previous campaign with a dominant Avoca Mdn win by just over four lengths, beating Enzo Charley after settling close and letting down well. Strips fitter and gets a lovely run for Meech. 1st Pick 5 Abby's Crossword Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Cameron Thompson J: Linda Meech T: Cameron Thompson	142	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Returned with a strong second at Mortlake, covering ground and still making inroads to be beaten two and a half lengths by Becauseyou'Re Mine on soft ground. She had ended the previous campaign with a dominant Avoca Mdn win by just over four lengths, beating Enzo Charley after settling close and letting down well. Strips fitter and gets a lovely run for Meech.
4	Held his form well at Yarra Valley last start, sitting behind the leaders and finishing second to Balgowan, beaten just under three lengths on soft ground. The start prior he won a BM52 at Manangatang by a head from Le Glacon despite being tightened during the run. Wide draw is awkward, but the form reads strongly. 2nd Pick 4 Ponte Arcobaleno Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Lachlan King T: Ben Brisbourne	106	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Held his form well at Yarra Valley last start, sitting behind the leaders and finishing second to Balgowan, beaten just under three lengths on soft ground. The start prior he won a BM52 at Manangatang by a head from Le Glacon despite being tightened during the run. Wide draw is awkward, but the form reads strongly.
14	Was beaten as odds-on favourite at Wentworth last start, finishing third in a picnic BM50 and beaten four and a half lengths by Le Glacon. The St Arnaud BM52 run prior had more merit, closing from well back to miss by a long neck after striking trouble late. Keeping safe. 3rd Pick 14 Flux Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Rodney Foster J: Unknown Jockey T: Rodney Foster	131	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was beaten as odds-on favourite at Wentworth last start, finishing third in a picnic BM50 and beaten four and a half lengths by Le Glacon. The St Arnaud BM52 run prior had more merit, closing from well back to miss by a long neck after striking trouble late. Keeping safe.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.