AU - Dunkeld - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SQUAZEEMOTO (9) is a key chance after making a decisive first-up return at Moe, beating Laura's Gold by a length and a half. He's a 10yo veteran but that was a good win and he sets up for every chance again. CARIBBEAN VILLA (2) brings the most consistent recent BM62 form, with a neck second at Horsham followed by a Swan Hill third when grabbed late. Consistent and will take beating in this. BEAU STRADA (3) was beaten just over a length at Traralgon as favourite and is better judged on that than her wide Echuca run. Can improve again. FOX MAN (1) resumes from five months off with a Horsham trial win behind him, wary for the Meech/Bobbin combination. FROSE (8) is a fringe chance on best form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Produced the best last-start win in the race, leading throughout at Moe and beating Laura's Gold by a length and a half when near the top of an open market. That was his first run back, and the same apprentice's 3lbs claim keeps him nicely weighted second-up. The one they have to catch. 1st Pick 9 Squazeemoto Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont Trainer: Dennis Julius J: Bailey Kinninmont T: Dennis Julius	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Produced the best last-start win in the race, leading throughout at Moe and beating Laura's Gold by a length and a half when near the top of an open market. That was his first run back, and the same apprentice's 3lbs claim keeps him nicely weighted second-up. The one they have to catch.
2	Brings the most reliable recent form, having led deep when third in a BM62 at Swan Hill, beaten a length and a half, after a neck second in another BM62 at Horsham at generous odds. Dropping back to BM56 is a clear plus, and he has placed three times from four goes at this distance. Sets up well on pace and can break through. 2nd Pick 2 Caribbean Villa Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Nathan Hobson J: Jack Hill T: Nathan Hobson	169	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Brings the most reliable recent form, having led deep when third in a BM62 at Swan Hill, beaten a length and a half, after a neck second in another BM62 at Horsham at generous odds. Dropping back to BM56 is a clear plus, and he has placed three times from four goes at this distance. Sets up well on pace and can break through.
3	Raised her game second-up at Traralgon, travelling well and finishing third as favourite, beaten just over a length by Bleak Mid Winter on soft ground. Her Echuca resumption reads better with the stewards noting she raced wide after settling rearward. Can improve again, in the mix. 3rd Pick 3 Beau Strada Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Zac Spain T: Luke Oliver	95	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Raised her game second-up at Traralgon, travelling well and finishing third as favourite, beaten just over a length by Bleak Mid Winter on soft ground. Her Echuca resumption reads better with the stewards noting she raced wide after settling rearward. Can improve again, in the mix.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.