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3:16 AM

AU - Dunkeld - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
21.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NINETYFIVEINAFIFTY (8) sets the standard after two solid Echuca runs, beaten just under a length first-up then third to Salarae when wide throughout on soft ground. Should find this a shade easier and go close. HIGHLIGHT REEL (11) is the danger if he can rebound from being beaten as favourite at Mildura, his St Arnaud placing two back reads well enough and he is third-up and ready to fire. CRIMSON STORM (9) brings the best debut profile, a $150,000 yearling purchase from the Ciaron Maher yard, with three trial thirds and a close third at Cranbourne most recently. Should measure up nicely. OVERTHINKER (10) has also been readied steadily, with four trials and a close second at Horsham. Respecting for the Bobbin yard. CLASSY SASSY (6) just found one better fresh and Meech aboard is a huge positive, respecting.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Ninetyfiveinafifty silk

Comes to this third-up after two honest Echuca runs, the latest a third on soft ground behind Salarae when she raced wide throughout yet kept on. She had been beaten just under a length first-up and remains strong on the figures for this field. Brings strong maiden form and should go close.

1st Pick
8

Ninetyfiveinafifty

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ben Brisbourne

J: Non Runner

T: Ben Brisbourne

117---20%4/1

Analysis

Comes to this third-up after two honest Echuca runs, the latest a third on soft ground behind Salarae when she raced wide throughout yet kept on. She had been beaten just under a length first-up and remains strong on the figures for this field. Brings strong maiden form and should go close.

11
Highlight Reel silk

Was disappointing as favourite at Mildura last start, finishing sixth and beaten five and a half lengths after jumping awkwardly and laying out. That came at a picnic meeting, so this is a stronger assignment, but his St Arnaud third two back showed enough when beaten just over two lengths at long odds. Third-up and capable of bouncing back.

2nd Pick
11

Highlight Reel

Jockey: Eoin Walsh

Trainer: Thomas Conlan

J: Eoin Walsh

T: Thomas Conlan

74---31%9/4

Analysis

Was disappointing as favourite at Mildura last start, finishing sixth and beaten five and a half lengths after jumping awkwardly and laying out. That came at a picnic meeting, so this is a stronger assignment, but his St Arnaud third two back showed enough when beaten just over two lengths at long odds. Third-up and capable of bouncing back.

9
Crimson Storm silk

Starts her career with a strong enough profile for this maiden, being a $150,000 yearling purchase from the Ciaron Maher stable. Her latest trial was a close third at Cranbourne, the third trial placing in her build-up, and the stable's debut record gives some support. Drawn wide but respecting yard.

3rd Pick
9

Crimson Storm

Jockey: Cian Macredmond

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Cian Macredmond

T: Ciaron Maher

48---2%60/1

Analysis

Starts her career with a strong enough profile for this maiden, being a $150,000 yearling purchase from the Ciaron Maher stable. Her latest trial was a close third at Cranbourne, the third trial placing in her build-up, and the stable's debut record gives some support. Drawn wide but respecting yard.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.