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3 Min Till Start

AU - Donald - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.1f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
52.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Competitive. PRINCE ERIC (8) was close up at Caulfield and Sandown-Hillside in 78s and then disappointed going back to Caulfield with Blake Shinn aboard. (vet cleared). Bates goes on today, and the gelding carries 4kgs less at this level. Rates well and comes back to the mile off a 32-day freshen. Placed in this race last year and can get back on track. SURPRISE COMING (10) is a South Australian who rates well of close-up efforts at Murray Bridge and Morphettville. Has Meech and the inside gate, and also carries less. He's a winning chance. DARK JOURNEY (6) has had his runs spaced in recent times as he's tackled stronger company in town, including a strong race on Oaks Day at Flemington. Back to this looks ideal and a return to form is on the cards. BELTORO (1) is better than we've seen recently and is an Albury Cup runner-up from April. Can feature.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Prince Eric silk

Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 10 at Caulfield Bm78 on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Zambardo carrying 129lbs at $9. The race before that 5th of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on September 27 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Farhh Flung carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Can turn things around.

1st Pick
8

Prince Eric

Jockey: Declan Bates

Trainer: Archie Alexander

J: Declan Bates

T: Archie Alexander

118---23%7/2

Analysis

Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 10 at Caulfield Bm78 on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Zambardo carrying 129lbs at $9. The race before that 5th of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on September 27 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Farhh Flung carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Can turn things around.

10
Surprise Coming silk

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm74 on November 1 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Snoopy Now with 128lbs at $4.60. The run before that 7th of 16 at Murray Bridge Bm72 on October 11 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Dual Pressure with 125lbs at $4.80. Among the better chances.

2nd Pick
10

Surprise Coming

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Mick Huxtable

J: Linda Meech

T: Mick Huxtable

157---29%5/2

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm74 on November 1 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Snoopy Now with 128lbs at $4.60. The run before that 7th of 16 at Murray Bridge Bm72 on October 11 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Dual Pressure with 125lbs at $4.80. Among the better chances.

4
Ocean Beyond silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 13 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Ruakaka Raider with 131lbs at $21. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Flemington 4yo+ Bm90 on November 6 over 1m, 3 len behind Al Duca carrying 119lbs at $31. Racing well. Better placed and expected to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
4

Ocean Beyond

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Simon Ryan

J: Non Runner

T: Simon Ryan

141---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 13 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Ruakaka Raider with 131lbs at $21. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Flemington 4yo+ Bm90 on November 6 over 1m, 3 len behind Al Duca carrying 119lbs at $31. Racing well. Better placed and expected to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.