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Resulted

AU - Donald - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
15.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FLYING STRAZ (6) was narrowly beaten last start when second in a small field over 5f at Warracknabeal. That followed a similar good run first up, so should be at peak fitness now and can go one better. ROCKCLIFF (2) has lost his way a touch the past couple, but they followed two great runs to start the prep which, significantly, were here, so getting back to this track looks in his favour. EL SALTO (3) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start when he was never in contention over 5f at Tatura, beaten 4 lengths into seventh. This looks a more suitable assignment. RAGING MONKEY (5) is a light of better days but was only a length off Flying Straz three back, so he warrants consideration.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Flying Straz silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Simply Luscious with 120lbs at $16. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 5f, neck behind Simply Luscious carrying 121lbs at $7. This looks well within her grasp.

1st Pick
6

Flying Straz

Jockey: Valentin Le Boeuf

Trainer: Rodney Foster

J: Valentin Le Boeuf

T: Rodney Foster

82---15%

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Simply Luscious with 120lbs at $16. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 5f, neck behind Simply Luscious carrying 121lbs at $7. This looks well within her grasp.

2
Rockcliff silk

Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start 9th of 12 in a Bm56 at Moe on August 13 over 5f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Nasraawy carrying 131lbs at $21. The race before that 6th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Kentahten carrying 131lbs at $9.50. Ran two nice races here to start the prep, so getting back to this

2nd Pick
2

Rockcliff

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Ray Besanko

J: Jack Hill

T: Ray Besanko

95---15%

Analysis

Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start 9th of 12 in a Bm56 at Moe on August 13 over 5f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Nasraawy carrying 131lbs at $21. The race before that 6th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Kentahten carrying 131lbs at $9.50. Ran two nice races here to start the prep, so getting back to this

3
El Salto silk

Most recently 7th of 12 in a Bm56 at Tatura on September 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Do It Now with 129lbs at $19. The race before that 6th of 8 in a Bm62 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 5f, 4 len behind Starburst carrying 120lbs at $20. Well placed. In a suitable race and is sure to run well.

3rd Pick
3

El Salto

Jockey: Olivia East

Trainer: Leslie Robertson

J: Olivia East

T: Leslie Robertson

222---42%

Analysis

Most recently 7th of 12 in a Bm56 at Tatura on September 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Do It Now with 129lbs at $19. The race before that 6th of 8 in a Bm62 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 5f, 4 len behind Starburst carrying 120lbs at $20. Well placed. In a suitable race and is sure to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.