AU - Donald - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Even contest with many chances. THURMOND (3) got things back on track last start when second up from a spell, making late inroads to get up for third over 1 ½m at Geelong. Scored at his only other third-up run. Ready to peak at the right time. MADESIAN (7) appreciated the step up in distance last time out when third at big odds over 1 ¼m at Ballarat. Finds an easier assignment today and although on trial at this trip it looks the right fit at this stage. SHOGUN EXPRESS (8) has failed to feature in two runs this preparation. Ready to put it together now out to a more likeable journey. JENNY THE BEAVER (14) doesn't win out of turn but boasts a better than average top three strike-rate for a stayer. Whacked away over 1 ½m at Geelong last time. At her peak now. FLASHLIGHT (2) has been freshened up since failing over this trip at Bendigo on 2 May. Form before that was hard to knock. Trialled well at Traralgon recently so should be up for this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 15 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 50 len behind Inherently carrying 130lbs at $13. Last start 3rd of 14 at Geelong Bm62 on May 22 over 1 ½m, slow going 2 len behind Vegas Jack with 133lbs at $12. Profiles nicely. Ready to show his best. 1st Pick 3 Thurmond Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Damien Thornton T: Symon Wilde	99	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 15 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 50 len behind Inherently carrying 130lbs at $13. Last start 3rd of 14 at Geelong Bm62 on May 22 over 1 ½m, slow going 2 len behind Vegas Jack with 133lbs at $12. Profiles nicely. Ready to show his best.
7	Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Bm66 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Breathless Spirit with 127lbs at $26. The race before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Siriusly Hot carrying 131lbs at $10. Rock hard fit and capable of taking this out. 2nd Pick 7 Madesian Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Jett Stanley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	104	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Bm66 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Breathless Spirit with 127lbs at $26. The race before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Siriusly Hot carrying 131lbs at $10. Rock hard fit and capable of taking this out.
8	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Breathless Spirit with 130lbs at $14. Second-up 4th of 11 at Mildura Bm56 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Everythingisautumn carrying 137lbs at $6.50. Gets to his right race now. 3rd Pick 8 Shogun Express Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick Payne	108	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Breathless Spirit with 130lbs at $14. Second-up 4th of 11 at Mildura Bm56 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Everythingisautumn carrying 137lbs at $6.50. Gets to his right race now.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.