AU - Donald - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SHE'S EXCESSIVE (10) debuts and has won 5/6 jumpouts and placed second in the other. She finds a suitable assignment, and the in-form Meech is a positive jockey booking. She'll get every chance. LIGHT FILLED (7) resumes and she led narrowly beaten here since last seen. She missed a whisker over this trip at Ballarat on debut and won a recent Ballarat jump-out. Has plenty of gate speed, and a bold return is on the cards. SMOKE SCREEN (11) led unexpectedly at Pakenham third-up, and it didn't suit. She has been beaten a whisker at Pakenham and Caulfield Heath prior over this trip and raced as the favourite in all. She comes back ½f and will take a sit today. ELSA OF ARENDELLE (5) settled well back at Pakenham first-up and closed off well beaten just 1.5L. She'd switched yards and is improved. Will have to do it the hard way again but keeps John Allen and that will assist.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Filly by Exceed And Excel facing the starter for the first time. Won a jump-out at Avoca on March 31. Couldn't have been more impressive in the lead-ups. 1st Pick 10 She's Excessive Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Linda Meech T: Tom Dabernig	121	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Filly by Exceed And Excel facing the starter for the first time. Won a jump-out at Avoca on March 31. Couldn't have been more impressive in the lead-ups.
7	Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw November 16 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Queen Of The Surf with 123lbs at $4.80. On debut second of 7 at Ballarat 3yo F Mdn-Sw October 6 over 5f, soft track, a head behind Angel Eyes carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Has strong claims if presented on song. 2nd Pick 7 Light Filled Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Robert Hickmott J: Teo Nugent T: Robert Hickmott	86	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw November 16 over 6 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Queen Of The Surf with 123lbs at $4.80. On debut second of 7 at Ballarat 3yo F Mdn-Sw October 6 over 5f, soft track, a head behind Angel Eyes carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Has strong claims if presented on song.
11	Last start raced on the pace before fading ran last of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 12 len behind Two To Tango with 126lbs at $3.10. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 5f, head behind Absolute Power with 126lbs at $2.20. Rates well and expected to do much better. 3rd Pick 11 Smoke Screen Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Eoin Walsh T: Ciaron Maher	158	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start raced on the pace before fading ran last of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 12 len behind Two To Tango with 126lbs at $3.10. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 5f, head behind Absolute Power with 126lbs at $2.20. Rates well and expected to do much better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.