AU - Donald - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TROUBLE'N PARADISE (4) ran well on debut, narrowly beaten over 6f at Ararat. He'd looked good at the jump-outs and won't have to improve much to take this out. Has the outside gate, but he can skip over to the pace in a race devoid of early speed. BARRYFROM BRUNZWIK (1) resumes and is much better than the form line suggests. Impressed coming from last beaten less than 2L at Ballarat on debut and found Moonee Valley a bit tough, the one after. He brings two sharp jumpouts and Hurdle sticks from them. DIMACHAERUS (3) ran a much better race at his second outing, beaten 1.3L over 5 ½f at Avoca. He draws awkwardly, but he will come hard with the extra fitness. BLUE VALENTINE (10) won two jumpouts and was well supported at Kyneton on debut, fading late after racing forward. Will be fitter, and the blinkers go straight on. Has an inside gate and can't be ruled out.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Rates highly and can get off the mark. 1st Pick 4 Trouble'n Paradise Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Harry Coffey T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	201	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Rates highly and can get off the mark.
1	He is resuming after a 18 months break. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 4 2024 over 6f, 6 len behind Brandjam with 128lbs at $19. On debut fourth of 12 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw September 20 2024 over 5f, soft track, 2 len behind Flash 'N' Dash with 128lbs at $19. A bold return is likley. 2nd Pick 1 Barryfrom Brunzwik Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Robert Hickmott J: Ryan Hurdle T: Robert Hickmott	73	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis He is resuming after a 18 months break. Finished off last campaign eighth of 10 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 4 2024 over 6f, 6 len behind Brandjam with 128lbs at $19. On debut fourth of 12 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw September 20 2024 over 5f, soft track, 2 len behind Flash 'N' Dash with 128lbs at $19. A bold return is likley.
3	Had two starts to date. At debut, got back early 8th of 10 at Echuca 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 6f, 5 len behind Baganov with 128lbs at $7. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Avoca Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Life After Love with 130lbs at $7. Coming along nicely and is expected to make the finish. 3rd Pick 3 Dimachaerus Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Tim Fitzsimmons J: Jack Hill T: Tim Fitzsimmons	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, got back early 8th of 10 at Echuca 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 8 over 6f, 5 len behind Baganov with 128lbs at $7. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Avoca Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Life After Love with 130lbs at $7. Coming along nicely and is expected to make the finish.

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