AU - Donald - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

PALAZZO DAMA (8) returned from a 38-week spell and was having her first run in the Browne stable when an encouraging third over this distance at Sale last start. Showed good gate speed that day and will need it again from the wide draw. Likely improver who can get off the mark this time. Speedy filly LIGHT FILLED (6) had a 40-day break before her last run, a tiring fourth over today's trip at Ballarat. Strips fitter and this maiden looks a touch easier so she might take some running down. GINA'S A STAR (5) resumed after an eight-month spell as favourite recently over 5 ½f at Geelong but gave away too much start and just missed the placings. Not sure coming back in trip is ideal but with a stack of pace on show she should be mowing them down late. NEOTROPICAL (12) led for home but was passed by a couple when resuming as $2.05 favourite over this distance at Mornington last time. Can improve sharply. MORNING RALPH (1) ran a better race last start and is in contention also.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second run back. First-up after nine months 3rd in a small field at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Mad About Magnus carrying 123lbs at $16. Previously second-up ran last in a small field at Kembla Grange 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 1 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Johnny carrying 121lbs at $21. Back in good shape for the new stable and should kick on. 1st Pick 8 Palazzo Dama Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Will Gordon T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	97	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months 3rd in a small field at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Mad About Magnus carrying 123lbs at $16. Previously second-up ran last in a small field at Kembla Grange 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 1 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Johnny carrying 121lbs at $21. Back in good shape for the new stable and should kick on.
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 14 over 5f, 6 len behind Smoke Screen carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Last start 4th of 9 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Pico Bella carrying 127lbs at $6. Promising galloper. Starting to put it all together and is among the leading hopes. 2nd Pick 6 Light Filled Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Robert Hickmott J: Teo Nugent T: Robert Hickmott	112	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 14 over 5f, 6 len behind Smoke Screen carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Last start 4th of 9 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Pico Bella carrying 127lbs at $6. Promising galloper. Starting to put it all together and is among the leading hopes.
5	Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 13 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Just Think Twice carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on September 11 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Cafe Au Lait with 127lbs at $15. Strips fitter and should be right in the mix. 3rd Pick 5 Gina's A Star Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: John Allen T: Mitchell Freedman	81	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 4th of 13 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Just Think Twice carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on September 11 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Cafe Au Lait with 127lbs at $15. Strips fitter and should be right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.