AU - Cranbourne - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

12.8f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

THE STORYTELLER (2) was big odds first up here but ran very well in a much stronger race on Cup day, beaten under a length in BM84 company. This trip should only suit better and while he jumps in the weights, he draws for every chance and looks well placed. KARBURAN (1) is finding it tough to win but has been racing fairly well, solid in a much tougher race two back at Flemington, fading late over this route last time. He'll push on again and if left along he'll take plenty of catching. EAGLE ANGEL (3) notched up his second career win with a tough effort at Geelong last time out. He was only second up there and is open to further improvement from a good draw. JEALOUS (7) is knocking on the door with back-to-back placings. She needs things to go her way given her racing pattern but has claims again. MY ROCA FELLA (5) continues to race well and can stick on for a top-three finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 9 at this track Bm84 on November 22 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Regal Lion with 118lbs at $41. Previously second-up 11th of 13 at Te Rapa Rating 65 on October 12 2024 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Arjay's Flight carrying 129lbs at $51.10. Strong return and looks very hard to beat. 1st Pick 2 The Storyteller Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: John Leek Jr J: Lachlan Neindorf T: John Leek Jr	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 9 at this track Bm84 on November 22 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Regal Lion with 118lbs at $41. Previously second-up 11th of 13 at Te Rapa Rating 65 on October 12 2024 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Arjay's Flight carrying 129lbs at $51.10. Strong return and looks very hard to beat.
1	Most recently led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 at this track Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 5.5 len behind Black Peppermint with 132lbs at $4.60. The start before that failed to make an impression, 7th of 17 at Flemington Bm96 on November 4 over 1 ¾m, slow going 8 len behind Litzdeel carrying 117lbs at $14. Can cross up and take catching. 2nd Pick 1 Karburan Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Ryan Houston T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	138	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently led to the turn then faded 6th of 13 at this track Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 5.5 len behind Black Peppermint with 132lbs at $4.60. The start before that failed to make an impression, 7th of 17 at Flemington Bm96 on November 4 over 1 ¾m, slow going 8 len behind Litzdeel carrying 117lbs at $14. Can cross up and take catching.
3	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 9 at Mornington Bm62 on November 2 over 1 ½m, 3.5 len behind Buddong with 133lbs at $5. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at Geelong Bm62 November 26 over 1 ½m defeating Leonchroi with 133lbs at $13. Rates highly. Should be right there again. 3rd Pick 3 Eagle Angel Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Declan Bates T: Gavin Bedggood	110	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 9 at Mornington Bm62 on November 2 over 1 ½m, 3.5 len behind Buddong with 133lbs at $5. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at Geelong Bm62 November 26 over 1 ½m defeating Leonchroi with 133lbs at $13. Rates highly. Should be right there again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.