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6:00 AM

AU - Mornington - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
22.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The speedy BAZABALL REWARDED (4) didn't run out 6f here in stronger, but won easily her three prior over 5f at the track. Jumped a short-priced favourite again and has been kept on the fresh side. Hits this at peak and the promising mare rates to bounce back. BLETHYN (5) resumed in good order with a narrow defeat at Moonee Valley at 70 level and then found an Open 3 at Flemington a stretch too far. Has Stackhouse aboard today and the blinkers go on for the first time. Much better suited and a bold run is on the cards. PACIFIC GLAMOUR (8) is a lightly raced improver from the McEvoy stable. Came off a long break to belt the Ballarat Maidens by 3.5L from the speed and is sure to improve with that under the belt. Has a wide gate but has to be kept safe. SEVEN OCEANS (12) didn't finish it off in town but ran a good number winning a Cranbourne Maiden first up prior. Maps well and Williams is a key jockey engagement. Goes in at a decent price.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Bazaball Rewarded silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at this track Bm66 on November 2 over 6f, 3 len behind Recon with 129lbs at $2.60. Before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm62 October 23 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Delicate Lady carrying 129lbs at $1.65. Well placed to make amends.

1st Pick
4

Bazaball Rewarded

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Kelvin Southey

J: Jamie Mott

T: Kelvin Southey

165---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at this track Bm66 on November 2 over 6f, 3 len behind Recon with 129lbs at $2.60. Before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm62 October 23 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Delicate Lady carrying 129lbs at $1.65. Well placed to make amends.

5
Blethyn silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 8 at Moonee Valley 3yo Bm70 on October 24 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Sisstainable with 123lbs at $26. Second-up second last of 11 at Flemington 3yo SWP on November 4 over 5f, slow going 5.5 len behind Pallaton with 126lbs at $41. Capable of a better showing. Key runner who is expected to go close.

2nd Pick
5

Blethyn

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Matt Laurie

108---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 8 at Moonee Valley 3yo Bm70 on October 24 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Sisstainable with 123lbs at $26. Second-up second last of 11 at Flemington 3yo SWP on November 4 over 5f, slow going 5.5 len behind Pallaton with 126lbs at $41. Capable of a better showing. Key runner who is expected to go close.

8
Pacific Glamour silk

Third race start. First start 6th of 8 at Moonee Valley 2yo Hcp on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Eternal Darkness with 122lbs at $4.80. Returned from break favourite, won by 3.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Where's My Sock carrying 123lbs at $2.40. Further improvement to come and keep well onside.

3rd Pick
8

Pacific Glamour

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Non Runner

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

133---1%1000/1

Analysis

Third race start. First start 6th of 8 at Moonee Valley 2yo Hcp on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Eternal Darkness with 122lbs at $4.80. Returned from break favourite, won by 3.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Where's My Sock carrying 123lbs at $2.40. Further improvement to come and keep well onside.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.