AU - Mornington - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

42.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Terrific finish with plenty of win chances but most of them are the fast finishers. BARBARIC LAD (6) just missed this grade fresh then went back and came from near last for a close-up eighth at Caulfield Heath latest. This easier and is a third-up winner. Will be winding up strongly. BLETHYN (2) has similar form. Scored two back then gave a big start but came home hard for a close-up seventh at Sandown Hillside. Beaten just over a length and looks well placed this easier grade. Hard to hold out. PRANCING SPIRIT (4) has been thereabouts without winning and is well placed this line-up. Placed 3/3 course and distance and should run well. FLYING MIKKI (3) scored a big win from the tail last time and looks tough to stop again. ALLINTHETIMING (7) is another with a big finish and will be winding up late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm70 on April 22 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Wingsandpropellers with 133lbs at $5. Second run from a spell eased back early on 8th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm74 on May 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Impending Link with 129lbs at $4.80. Made late ground last time and looks tough to stop here on good third-up record. 1st Pick 6 Barbaric Lad Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	115	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm70 on April 22 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Wingsandpropellers with 133lbs at $5. Second run from a spell eased back early on 8th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm74 on May 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Impending Link with 129lbs at $4.80. Made late ground last time and looks tough to stop here on good third-up record.
2	Last start 7th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on May 23 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Dreamzel carrying 127lbs at $12. The run before that won by 2.75 len at Cranbourne Bm66 April 24 over 5f defeating Pocket Size carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Encouraging effort last start. Narrow loss last time with a big run from the back and looks a definite winning chance. 2nd Pick 2 Blethyn Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Non Runner T: Matt Laurie	127	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 7th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on May 23 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Dreamzel carrying 127lbs at $12. The run before that won by 2.75 len at Cranbourne Bm66 April 24 over 5f defeating Pocket Size carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Encouraging effort last start. Narrow loss last time with a big run from the back and looks a definite winning chance.
4	At the latest run 6th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm74 on May 20 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Impending Link carrying 127lbs at $9. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm78 on April 18 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Celsius Star with 127lbs at $10. Not far away last time. Placed 3/3 course and distance and should run well. 3rd Pick 4 Prancing Spirit Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Phillip Stokes	193	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm74 on May 20 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Impending Link carrying 127lbs at $9. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm78 on April 18 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Celsius Star with 127lbs at $10. Not far away last time. Placed 3/3 course and distance and should run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.