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6:30 AM

AU - Mornington - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
19.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CATTLE CAMP (5) looks a progressive type who resumes after a break. Did win at his only other first-up run when on debut, scoring over 5f at Sale. Beaten less than a length in town at only other start and has trialled well this time. Gets a gun draw too. MAUNA KEA MISS (11) missed the frame but not disgraced in town when sixth at Caulfield. Returns to home track this time. The winkers are removed now and looks a top chance in this, which is a step down on her recent assignments. INSAIN HARRY (1) was a late scratching at Geelong last week in a race in which he was very well-backed, so there's a bit of expectation that he's come back well. GLENFINNIAN (4) has run some nice races in much tougher events than this. Been a while since we've seen his best, but looks the right race for him to show it. Giga Kick's half-brother PANTOJA (8) disappointed last start, but was a nice winner the start prior and can play a role with a repeat of that effort.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Cattle Camp silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 April 29 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Empire Song carrying 131lbs at $5. On debut won by 0.5 len Sale Mdn-Sw April 8 over 5f defeating Blondie's Award with 130lbs at $3.70. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

1st Pick
5

Cattle Camp

Jockey: Luke Nolen

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Nolen

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

127---39%13/8

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 April 29 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Empire Song carrying 131lbs at $5. On debut won by 0.5 len Sale Mdn-Sw April 8 over 5f defeating Blondie's Award with 130lbs at $3.70. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

11
Mauna Kea Miss silk

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 15 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Recuperato with 119lbs at $81. The start before that ran last in a small field in a F&M Bm74 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Queen Christine with 115lbs at $3.10. This easier and can measure up.

2nd Pick
11

Mauna Kea Miss

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Rory Hunter

J: Teo Nugent

T: Rory Hunter

156---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 15 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Recuperato with 119lbs at $81. The start before that ran last in a small field in a F&M Bm74 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Queen Christine with 115lbs at $3.10. This easier and can measure up.

1
Insain Harry silk

Resuming after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation second of 8 at Caulfield Heath 0 - 66 March 4 over 6f, 1.0 len behind King Tut carrying 132lbs at $3.50. Previous preparation first-up to post a big 3.5 len win. Werribee Mdn-Sw December 15 over 5 ½f defeating Zubba Storm carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Consistent and looks ready to run a big race fresh.

3rd Pick
1

Insain Harry

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin

J: Ben Allen

T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin

81---15%6/1

Analysis

Resuming after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation second of 8 at Caulfield Heath 0 - 66 March 4 over 6f, 1.0 len behind King Tut carrying 132lbs at $3.50. Previous preparation first-up to post a big 3.5 len win. Werribee Mdn-Sw December 15 over 5 ½f defeating Zubba Storm carrying 131lbs at $1.50. Consistent and looks ready to run a big race fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.