AU - Mornington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

16.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BEARBRASSBLACKFISH (3) finished a close fourth in a hot form race two back at Kyneton over 1 ?m. Stepped up to 1 ¼m at Kilmore last time and struggled. Has been to the jump-outs since. Not much depth to this race so he looks a big chance to return to form. PRESERVATOR (2) has been easily accounted for in two runs this prep, both in sprint races at Sale. On a seven-day back-up and generally hits form at this time of the campaign so watch for a much better run. TIGHT GRIP (5) looks ready to find form at the third run back from a spell. Two runs this time in work have been in better company and he hasn't been all that far away. Live chance in this company. MOOSE JAW (13) is cherry ripe and needs this sort of trip after four runs back from a spell.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run second last of 11 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 28 len behind Real Intrigue carrying 132lbs at $5. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Kyneton 0 - 56 on March 28 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Patsy's Star with 132lbs at $4. Can bounce back over this shorter journey. 1st Pick 3 Bearbrassblackfish Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Zac Spain T: Greg Eurell	137	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run second last of 11 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 28 len behind Real Intrigue carrying 132lbs at $5. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Kyneton 0 - 56 on March 28 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Patsy's Star with 132lbs at $4. Can bounce back over this shorter journey.
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on April 19 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Stormbourg with 127lbs at $41. Second-up got back early 5th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on May 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Sweet Jasmine with 127lbs at $12. Likely improver who looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Preservator Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: K J Fythe J: Jason Maskiell T: K J Fythe	108	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on April 19 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Stormbourg with 127lbs at $41. Second-up got back early 5th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on May 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Sweet Jasmine with 127lbs at $12. Likely improver who looks hard to beat.
5	Third-up today. First-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Cg&E Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind The Grumpy Bear with 126lbs at $71. Last start from last on the turn 7th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on April 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Couldthisbetheone with 126lbs at $41. Back in grade and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 5 Tight Grip Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Nevin Eades J: Luke Nolen T: Nevin Eades	100	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Cg&E Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind The Grumpy Bear with 126lbs at $71. Last start from last on the turn 7th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on April 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Couldthisbetheone with 126lbs at $41. Back in grade and should play a big role.

Upcoming Races

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