AU - Mornington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

STAY HUMBLE (1) went forward last start over 7 ¾f at Geelong and held on well for second, beaten a neck. Won't find this as tough so he is likely to play a big role. TOUXLOVE (6) won in this grade three back then took on metro races at the past couple and was far from disgraced. They should have him ready to play a key role here. WASHINGTON LILAC (11) is a horse who has always been highly-regarded, hence being tested in the Adrian Knox Stks last prep. As that suggests, she'll be better over further than this, but it looks a suitable kick-off. CORONATIONHERCULES (4) is the most lightly-raced runner in the race but hasn't done a lot wrong to date and an continue his good progression here. DIAMANDA (7) was prominent at the corner and finished second last start at the first run back from a spell over 1m at Moe, beaten 2 lengths. Will benefit from that outing. Placed to advantage and can feature in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, neck behind Ocean Bay with 134lbs at $2.30. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Celestial Zara with 129lbs at $8. Rates highly and can measure up. 1st Pick 1 Stay Humble Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	214	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, neck behind Ocean Bay with 134lbs at $2.30. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Celestial Zara with 129lbs at $8. Rates highly and can measure up.
6	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 8 in a Bm74 at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 7f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Buccleuch carrying 117lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 7 ½f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Stay Silent with 126lbs at $4.40. Tough to beat if near his best. 2nd Pick 6 Touxlove Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Luke Currie T: Clayton Douglas	112	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 8 in a Bm74 at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 7f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Buccleuch carrying 117lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 7 ½f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Stay Silent with 126lbs at $4.40. Tough to beat if near his best.
11	Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign when last of 16 at Randwick in the G3 Adrianknox April 4 over 1 ¼m, soft track, 17 len behind Profoundly carrying 120lbs at $51. First up last campaign third of 11 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw February 3 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Clevor Trever carrying 123lbs at $10. Better over further but has the class to show up fresh over this trip. 3rd Pick 11 Washington Lilac Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Luke Cartwright T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	83	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign when last of 16 at Randwick in the G3 Adrianknox April 4 over 1 ¼m, soft track, 17 len behind Profoundly carrying 120lbs at $51. First up last campaign third of 11 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw February 3 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Clevor Trever carrying 123lbs at $10. Better over further but has the class to show up fresh over this trip.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.