AU - Mornington - Race 6

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

10.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

TOLPUDDLE (5) narrowly missed last time when second over 1m at Pakenham Synthetic to add to a frustrating sequence of results. This no harder than recent assignments, so just needs a clear crack at them. FOIX (6) caught the eye late last start at Sale when charging into fifth position at just the second run back. Can only be better for that and looks suited up to this trip. RAZANNE (12) missed the placings two runs back then improved last start but found a couple better over 1 ¹/16m at Sale, beaten only 1.5 lengths, in the same race that Foix ran fifth. Right in the mix again. OMAMORI (1) gets a change of rider and has been freshened up since finishing tenth over 1 ¼m at Seymour last start. Last run worth forgiving and can atone. SAVEADATEFORME (3) hasn't done a lot this prep, but has been going around in better races than this, so improvement would not shock.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 1m, long-neck behind Zorb carrying 132lbs at $3.30. The start before that 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 3 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Military Base carrying 132lbs at $14. Looks a key runner. 1st Pick 5 Tolpuddle Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Jamie Melham T: Nick Ryan	149	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 1m, long-neck behind Zorb carrying 132lbs at $3.30. The start before that 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 3 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Military Base carrying 132lbs at $14. Looks a key runner.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 9th of 12 in a Cl1 at Bendigo on July 30 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Ocean Bay with 129lbs at $51. Second-up 5th of 14 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Saxon Blood with 131lbs at $21. Ready to fire after the two runs back. 2nd Pick 6 Foix Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	115	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 9th of 12 in a Cl1 at Bendigo on July 30 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Ocean Bay with 129lbs at $51. Second-up 5th of 14 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Saxon Blood with 131lbs at $21. Ready to fire after the two runs back.
12	Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.5 len behind Saxon Blood with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out. 3rd Pick 12 Razanne Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	147	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Bm62 at Sale on August 21 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.5 len behind Saxon Blood with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.