AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

16.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MUST BE SAIN (2) ran a nice race first-up at Cranbourne in better company over today's distance. Wasn't suited dropping back to 5f last start in a run worth overlooking. In the right race today and should be cherry ripe at the third run back from a spell. SKELLIG ROCK (10) has been racing well without winning. Last appeared just seven days ago when an eye-catching third over 5 ½f at Wangaratta. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run just behind the pace and is sure to prove tough to hold out. ANIA (7) began awkwardly then found the line well when resuming over this distance at Cranbourne recently. This looks a touch easier and her second-up form reads well. Serious contender. MAGNEA (11) has been in fine form this prep following a stable change. Picked up nicely but was narrowly denied at her latest run over 5 ½f at Wodonga. This looks a lovely race for her. BRAZEN FLING (8) can improve with a step up in distance this afternoon.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Cranbourne 0-62 on April 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Billund with 128lbs at $20. Second run from a spell 7th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 28 over 5f, 5 len behind Abovethefrostline with 127lbs at $7. Fitter now and shapes as a leading player. 1st Pick 2 Must Be Sain Jockey: Lauren Burke Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black J: Lauren Burke T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black	124	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Cranbourne 0-62 on April 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Billund with 128lbs at $20. Second run from a spell 7th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 28 over 5f, 5 len behind Abovethefrostline with 127lbs at $7. Fitter now and shapes as a leading player.
10	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 12 at Wangaratta 0 - 56 on May 3 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Melodee Rose carrying 127lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 14 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Please Me Do carrying 128lbs at $6.50. In good form and can go on with the job now. 2nd Pick 10 Skellig Rock Jockey: Adam Mccabe Trainer: Aaron Laing J: Adam Mccabe T: Aaron Laing	91	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 12 at Wangaratta 0 - 56 on May 3 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Melodee Rose carrying 127lbs at $12. The run before that 4th of 14 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Please Me Do carrying 128lbs at $6.50. In good form and can go on with the job now.
7	Second-up. First-up after seven months got back early 4th in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Catwalk Icon with 127lbs at $17. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Seymour Cl1 on August 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Balastier with 121lbs at $17. Plenty of improvement to come with that run under her belt. 3rd Pick 7 Ania Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Jamie Mott T: Julius Sandhu	135	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months got back early 4th in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Catwalk Icon with 127lbs at $17. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Seymour Cl1 on August 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Balastier with 121lbs at $17. Plenty of improvement to come with that run under her belt.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.